ORIGINAL RESEARCH

Do whale-flow signals predict where crypto goes next?

We score every radar signal against the price 24 hours later. This is what the recorded sample shows about direction and size.

Method: every radar signal from the last 90 days, recorded when sent and scored against the coin's price 24 hours later. Direction is which way price moved. The move is how far, either way. Signals under 24 hours old are left out, not counted as no move. Sample: 1068 scored signals across all tracked coins.

49%

of the 1068 scored signals were higher 24 hours later

Higher 49%Lower 51%

Direction was close to a coin flip.

The signals mark a move. They do not say which way it goes.

Signal

Scored

Higher after 24h

Typical move, either way

Unusual whale volume

328

47%

1.5% to 6.7%

Liquidation cascade

277

46%

1.0% to 6.4%

Futures at a record

166

58%

1.0% to 4.4%

One very large trade

133

53%

0.3% to 2.2%

Squeeze setup flipped

100

46%

1.2% to 5.3%

Funding at an extreme

42%

1.1% to 11.6%

The tick marks 50%. The move range is the middle half of scored signals, drawn on one scale.

These signals mark unusual activity, not a direction to bet on. The terminal shows what was sent and what happened, never a forecast.

See the live signal record

Recomputed from the recorded signals on every visit. This describes what happened. It is not advice, and past behaviour does not predict future moves.