Do whale-flow signals predict where crypto goes next?
We track every signal the radar fires and score it against what price did 24 hours later. Here is what the recorded sample says about direction versus size.
Method: every signal the radar fired in the last 90 days, recorded when it fired and scored against the coin's price 24 hours later. Direction is which way it moved; the move is the size, either direction. A signal too recent to have a 24h outcome is left out, not counted as no move. Sample: 1625 scored events across all tracked coins.
43%
of the 1625 scored signals were higher 24 hours later
Direction was leaned down. The signal is about attention and size, not which way price goes.
Signal
Scored
Went up
Typical 24h move
Liquidation cascade
586
45%
1.0% to 5.1%
Unusual whale volume
445
44%
1.6% to 7.6%
major block
190
39%
0.4% to 2.1%
Squeeze setup flipped
164
46%
1.2% to 5.0%
deriv record
87
36%
0.9% to 6.1%
Funding at an extreme
86
37%
1.6% to 10.5%
flow divergence
67
43%
0.4% to 1.7%
Read it straight: across 1625 flagged events, being higher or lower a day later was leaned down. What these signals mark is unusual activity and larger-than-usual moves, not a direction to bet. That is why the terminal never shows a forecast, only what fired and what happened. The figures above update as new signals settle.
See the live signal recordThis is a living study: the numbers are recomputed from the recorded ledger, not frozen. It is descriptive, not advice, and past behaviour does not predict future moves.
