Unusual whale activity right now
What just turned unusual on each coin: whale trading, forced closes, a costly fee. And what the price did the last times.
What stands out in the last day: whales bought one and sold two.
What stands out in the last day: whales bought one and sold two.
Whales traded three coins heavily 10 hours ago, one still going, and none of the three has moved much since.
See the numbers
They sold STRK (barely moved) and $145M of BTC (barely moved), and bought ETH (barely moved). STRK was lower a day later in 4 of the last 6 times whales sold it like this (higher 2), typically moving about 17% either way; the last time, 8 days ago, it was down 6.2%.
None in the last 24 hours.
Right now
Earlier today
Also unusual, no price for these: UETHselling, 9h agoLBTCboth ways, 12h ago
How big each one was comes with a paid plan. BTC shows it on every plan.Start free, no cardNew accounts get 7 days of Pro. No card, nothing to cancel.
Every time, every coin
Whales A day after whale buying the price was higher 46% of the time (ordinary 47%); after selling, lower 39% (ordinary 41%); after trading both ways, higher 39% (ordinary 44%). An hour after, it moved more than usual 60% of the time (ordinary 50%).
Forced closes A day after bets on a rise were force-closed the price was higher 46% of the time (ordinary 41%); after bets on a fall were, higher 42% (ordinary 46%). An hour after, it moved more than usual 57% of the time (ordinary 50%).
Costly bets A day after betting on a rise turned costly the price was higher 45% of the time (ordinary 48%); after betting on a fall did, higher 42% (ordinary 39%).
The counts behind these
Whales 2,216 times on 137 coins since Jul 27
After whales bought 956 times
1 hour later
27% higher · 31% lower
of 796 with a price · 160 without
ordinary: 23% higher · 22% lower, from the hours around 785 of those 796 times
487 of 785 moved more than usual (62%) · ordinary 50%
4 hours later
38% higher · 36% lower
of 795 with a price · 161 without
ordinary: 35% higher · 32% lower, from the hours around 782 of those 795 times
474 of 782 moved more than usual (61%) · ordinary 50%
1 day later
46% higher · 42% lower
of 789 with a price · 167 without · 587 of them on Hyperliquid prices
ordinary: 47% higher · 39% lower, from the hours around 773 of those 789 times
430 of 773 moved more than usual (56%) · ordinary 50%
After whales sold 1,153 times
1 hour later
28% higher · 28% lower
of 990 with a price · 163 without
ordinary: 23% higher · 23% lower, from the hours around 982 of those 990 times
576 of 982 moved more than usual (59%) · ordinary 50%
4 hours later
39% higher · 33% lower
of 990 with a price · 163 without
ordinary: 34% higher · 34% lower, from the hours around 979 of those 990 times
552 of 979 moved more than usual (56%) · ordinary 50%
1 day later
47% higher · 39% lower
of 981 with a price · 172 without · 652 of them on Hyperliquid prices
ordinary: 45% higher · 41% lower, from the hours around 967 of those 981 times
504 of 967 moved more than usual (52%) · ordinary 50%
After whales traded both ways 107 times
1 hour later
34% higher · 28% lower
of 90 with a price · 17 without
ordinary: 25% higher · 26% lower, from the hours around 89 of those 90 times
53 of 89 moved more than usual (60%) · ordinary 50%
4 hours later
41% higher · 39% lower
of 90 with a price · 17 without
ordinary: 34% higher · 37% lower, from the hours around 87 of those 90 times
43 of 87 moved more than usual (49%) · ordinary 50%
1 day later
39% higher · 48% lower
of 90 with a price · 17 without · 23 of them on Hyperliquid prices
ordinary: 44% higher · 44% lower, from the hours around 87 of those 90 times
46 of 87 moved more than usual (53%) · ordinary 50%
Forced closes 953 times on 70 coins since Aug 3
After bets on a rise were force-closed 458 times
1 hour later
29% higher · 19% lower
of 411 with a price · 47 without
ordinary: 20% higher · 20% lower, from the hours around 408 of those 411 times
228 of 408 moved more than usual (56%) · ordinary 50%
4 hours later
39% higher · 27% lower
of 410 with a price · 48 without
ordinary: 31% higher · 32% lower, from the hours around 408 of those 410 times
218 of 408 moved more than usual (53%) · ordinary 50%
1 day later
46% higher · 40% lower
of 401 with a price · 57 without · 297 of them on Hyperliquid prices
ordinary: 41% higher · 43% lower, from the hours around 400 of those 401 times
203 of 400 moved more than usual (51%) · ordinary 50%
After bets on a fall were force-closed 495 times
1 hour later
24% higher · 21% lower
of 467 with a price · 28 without
ordinary: 20% higher · 19% lower, from the hours around 461 of those 467 times
264 of 461 moved more than usual (57%) · ordinary 50%
4 hours later
35% higher · 31% lower
of 466 with a price · 29 without
ordinary: 32% higher · 29% lower, from the hours around 461 of those 466 times
265 of 461 moved more than usual (57%) · ordinary 50%
1 day later
42% higher · 42% lower
of 465 with a price · 30 without · 336 of them on Hyperliquid prices
ordinary: 46% higher · 38% lower, from the hours around 459 of those 465 times
248 of 459 moved more than usual (54%) · ordinary 50%
Costly bets 803 times on 147 coins since Jul 27
After betting on a rise turned costly 272 times
1 hour later
35% higher · 37% lower
of 82 with a price · 190 without
ordinary: 34% higher · 28% lower, from the hours around 74 of those 82 times
45 of 74 moved more than usual (61%) · ordinary 50%
4 hours later
40% higher · 43% lower
of 82 with a price · 190 without
ordinary: 45% higher · 35% lower, from the hours around 74 of those 82 times
42 of 74 moved more than usual (57%) · ordinary 50%
1 day later
46% higher · 46% lower
of 77 with a price · 195 without · 46 of them on Hyperliquid prices
ordinary: 48% higher · 42% lower, from the hours around 71 of those 77 times
43 of 71 moved more than usual (61%) · ordinary 50%
After betting on a fall turned costly 531 times
1 hour later
22% higher · 20% lower
of 325 with a price · 206 without
ordinary: 21% higher · 21% lower, from the hours around 299 of those 325 times
148 of 299 moved more than usual (49%) · ordinary 50%
4 hours later
31% higher · 33% lower
of 318 with a price · 213 without
ordinary: 31% higher · 33% lower, from the hours around 295 of those 318 times
151 of 295 moved more than usual (51%) · ordinary 50%
1 day later
42% higher · 43% lower
of 301 with a price · 230 without · 207 of them on Hyperliquid prices
ordinary: 39% higher · 45% lower, from the hours around 289 of those 301 times
147 of 289 moved more than usual (51%) · ordinary 50%
Ordinary is the same coin's other hours within 7 days either side of each time, counted the same way on the same prices. Moved more than usual means further, up or down, than the middle move of those ordinary hours.
Not financial advice. A past move does not tell you the next one.
How this is counted
- Unusual means whales traded far more of the coin in one hour than is normal for it, after at least six quiet hours. The last times are the same coin with whales on the same side, in the last 90 days.
- Forced closes: within one minute, bets on one side were closed by force on at least three exchanges. Costly bets: the fee to keep a bet open, averaged across exchanges, went past 0.05% (for bets on a rise) or 0.03% (for bets on a fall). Each is compared only with earlier times of its own kind on the same coin and side.
- Moved more than usual means the move a day later was further, up or down, than the middle move of that coin's ordinary hours over a day. Ordinary hours beat their own middle move half the time.
- A day later is the price 24 hours after the end of the hour the unusual trading began, against the price at the end of that hour. Within half a percent either way is about flat. Since it began is counted from the price when it was logged where we hold one, otherwise from the end of that hour.
- Prices are our own hourly prices across exchanges where we hold them. For a coin or an hour we do not hold, they are Hyperliquid's hourly prices, and that time is counted on Hyperliquid's prices from start to finish, never a mix. The row says "on Hyperliquid" and the coin's page marks each such time.
- Ordinary is the same coin's other hours within seven days either side of each time, counted the same way on the same prices, with every hour inside an unusual time left out. A time with fewer than 72 such hours around it has no ordinary and is left out of that comparison; the counts say how many it rests on.
- No price means neither has a price for that moment. It is counted as no price, never as a move.