Radar / TRUMP
TRUMP: every time whale trading went unusual
13 times in the last 75 days that whales traded far more TRUMP in one hour than is normal for it. Also listed: 12 times bets were closed by force, 1 time a bet turned costly to hold.
Whales trading both ways, began 3 hours ago. The price is -3.0% since it began at $1.74.
TRUMP price, with each time marked
Hourly, Sep 30 to Nov 1. A break in the line is an hour with no price.
whales buying far more than normalwhales selling far more than normalforced closes or a costly fee
Where the price was a day later
Every time, newest first
Times are UTC. Under each move: TRUMP's usual move over the same stretch around then.
| When | What | Price then | 1 hour later | 4 hours later | 1 day later |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 17:00 UTC1 hour ago | Bets on a rise force-closednowWhales were trading both ways 2h earlier | $1.68+0.2% in that hour | not due yet | not due yet | not due yet |
| Nov 1, 14:00 UTC3 hours ago | Whales trading both waysnowBets on a rise were force-closed 2h later | $1.74+7.6% in that hour | +0.5%more than its usual 0.35% | not due yet | not due yet |
| Sep 23, 22:00 UTC39 days ago | Whales trading both waysBetting on a fall was costly 2h earlier | $1.96Hyperliquid-0.4% in that hour | +0.5%usual 0.59% | +0.9%usual 1.1% | +6.3%more than its usual 2.5% |
| Sep 23, 19:00 UTC39 days ago | Costly to bet on a fallWhales were trading both ways 2h later | $1.96Hyperliquid+0.3% in that hour | -0.5%usual 0.59% | +0.1%usual 1.1% | +6.6%more than its usual 2.5% |
| Sep 23, 11:00 UTC39 days ago | Whales selling | $2.17Hyperliquid-1.5% in that hour | -0.5%usual 0.60% | -8.7%more than its usual 1.1% | -8.9%more than its usual 2.8% |
| Sep 22, 19:00 UTC40 days ago | Whales selling | $2.21Hyperliquid+1.9% in that hour | +0.1%usual 0.59% | +1.9%more than its usual 1.1% | -11.1%more than its usual 2.9% |
| Sep 22, 12:00 UTC40 days ago | Whales selling | $2.21Hyperliquid+2.9% in that hour | +0.4%usual 0.59% | -1.8%more than its usual 1.1% | -2.6%usual 2.9% |
| Sep 19, 17:00 UTC43 days ago | Bets on a fall force-closedWhales were buying 49 min earlier | $2.13Hyperliquid+1.7% in that hour | -0.3%usual 0.53% | -2.6%more than its usual 1.0% | -2.1%usual 2.9% |
| Sep 19, 16:00 UTC43 days ago | Whales buyingBets on a fall were force-closed 49 min later | $2.09Hyperliquid+1.7% in that hour | +1.7%more than its usual 0.52% | +0.4%usual 1.0% | +0.6%usual 2.9% |
| Sep 18, 19:00 UTC44 days ago | Whales buying | $2.11Hyperliquid+0.9% in that hour | -0.2%usual 0.48% | -1.3%more than its usual 0.90% | +1.0%usual 2.9% |
| Sep 18, 13:00 UTC44 days ago | Whales buying | $2.10Hyperliquid+2.3% in that hour | +1.2%more than its usual 0.51% | 0.0%usual 0.92% | -2.4%usual 2.9% |
| Sep 16, 23:00 UTC46 days ago | Whales buying | $1.93Hyperliquid+2.1% in that hour | -0.6%more than its usual 0.50% | +0.3%usual 0.89% | +1.1%usual 2.5% |
| Sep 16, 01:00 UTC47 days ago | Bets on a rise force-closed | $1.85Hyperliquid-1.7% in that hour | +1.1%more than its usual 0.53% | +1.2%more than its usual 0.93% | +4.9%more than its usual 2.5% |
| Sep 11, 10:00 UTC51 days ago | Bets on a rise force-closed | $1.93Hyperliquid-1.2% in that hour | +0.9%more than its usual 0.47% | +5.2%more than its usual 0.80% | +3.9%more than its usual 2.5% |
| Sep 9, 22:00 UTC53 days ago | Bets on a rise force-closed | $1.99Hyperliquid-4.6% in that hour | +1.9%more than its usual 0.52% | +1.4%more than its usual 0.90% | -1.1%usual 2.6% |
| Sep 1, 20:00 UTC61 days ago | Bets on a rise force-closed | $2.28Hyperliquid-0.2% in that hour | -0.1%usual 0.62% | -1.7%more than its usual 1.2% | -4.4%more than its usual 3.7% |
| Aug 31, 11:00 UTC62 days ago | Bets on a rise force-closed | $2.37Hyperliquid-1.4% in that hour | -0.9%more than its usual 0.68% | +0.9%usual 1.3% | +0.8%usual 4.6% |
| Aug 30, 02:00 UTC64 days ago | Whales sellingBets on a rise were force-closed 1h earlier | $2.63Hyperliquid+0.2% in that hour | -1.7%more than its usual 0.75% | -0.8%usual 1.6% | -10.7%more than its usual 4.8% |
| Aug 30, 01:00 UTC64 days ago | Bets on a rise force-closedWhales were selling 1h later | $2.63Hyperliquid-1.0% in that hour | +0.2%usual 0.72% | -0.3%usual 1.5% | -11.8%more than its usual 4.8% |
| Aug 29, 15:00 UTC64 days ago | Bets on a rise force-closed | $2.66Hyperliquid-2.4% in that hour | -0.3%usual 0.79% | +0.1%usual 1.7% | -5.3%more than its usual 5.3% |
| Aug 29, 05:00 UTC65 days ago | Whales selling | $2.94Hyperliquid-1.9% in that hour | -6.0%more than its usual 0.82% | -6.5%more than its usual 1.9% | -11.0%more than its usual 5.5% |
| Aug 28, 22:00 UTC65 days ago | Bets on a fall force-closedWhales were selling 1h earlier | $2.68Hyperliquid+2.4% in that hour | +2.1%more than its usual 0.84% | +5.1%more than its usual 1.9% | -0.2%usual 5.7% |
| Aug 28, 21:00 UTC65 days ago | Whales sellingBets on a fall were force-closed 1h later | $2.62Hyperliquid-0.3% in that hour | +2.4%more than its usual 0.86% | +4.9%more than its usual 1.9% | +1.5%usual 5.7% |
| Aug 28, 06:00 UTC66 days ago | Bets on a rise force-closed | $2.79Hyperliquid+0.9% in that hour | +0.5%usual 0.92% | -2.1%more than its usual 2.1% | -0.9%usual 6.0% |
| Aug 27, 22:00 UTC66 days ago | Whales buying | $2.54Hyperliquid-0.3% in that hour | +0.2%usual 0.92% | +6.7%more than its usual 2.1% | +5.4%usual 6.1% |
| Aug 26, 05:00 UTC68 days ago | Bets on a fall force-closed | $2.25Hyperliquid+1.8% in that hour | +2.0%more than its usual 1.0% | -1.5%usual 2.2% | -0.1%usual 6.6% |
How far above normal each time ran, and its buy and sell split, come with a paid plan. Start free, no card New accounts get 7 days of Pro. No card, nothing to cancel.
Not financial advice. A past move does not tell you the next one.
How this is counted
A time starts when whales trade far more TRUMP in one hour than is normal for it, after at least six quiet hours. We note the price at the end of that hour, then one hour, four hours and one day later. Within half a percent either way is about flat.
Prices are our own hourly prices across exchanges where we hold them. For an hour we do not hold, they are Hyperliquid's hourly prices, and that time is then counted on Hyperliquid's prices from start to finish, never a mix: 24 of the 26 times here, each marked in the table.
Bets closed by force: within one minute, bets on one side were force-closed on at least three exchanges. A bet turned costly to hold: the fee to keep a bet open, averaged across exchanges, went past 0.05% for bets on a rise or 0.03% for bets on a fall. Each is compared only with earlier times of its own kind on the same side.
In that hour, under the price, is the move from the end of the hour before to the end of the hour it began in. It is the hour it happened, not what came after.
The usual move is the middle move of TRUMP's ordinary hours over the same stretch: half of them moved less, half more. Moved more than usual means further than that, up or down.
Ordinary is TRUMP's other hours within seven days either side of each time, counted the same way on the same prices, with every hour inside an unusual time left out. A time with fewer than 72 such hours around it has no ordinary.
No price means neither has a price for that moment. It is left out of the counts and never treated as a move.
