Radar / CC
CC: every time whale trading went unusual
1 time in the last 59 days that whales traded far more CC in one hour than is normal for it. Also listed: 10 times a bet turned costly to hold.
Quiet right now. Last unusual on Sep 23.
The case both ways
Facts with their sources, and what followed the last times of each kind. Neither side is weighed.
Points up
- The SEC's Division of Corporation Finance said it views Canton Coin as a digital commodity and will not recommend enforcement over its programmatic minting, under conditions set out in a no-action letter.theblock · 3 Nov
- The SEC staff based its view on Canton's statements that CC's value comes from network operations and supply and demand, and that the network has no central party.theblock · 3 Nov
- Digital Asset, the developer of Canton, raised $355 million in a funding round led by a16z crypto.theblock · 11 Jun
- CIP-0129 sets the burn price for synchronizer traffic at the Global Synchronizer's list price per megabyte, as set by Super Validators under the CIP-0084 process.GitHub
Points down
- According to 24/7 Wall St, CC's supply still grows faster than it is burned, and transaction volume determines how many tokens are burned.247wallst
- CC around the last 10 PCE inflation reports: higher 3 times, lower 6 a day later, a typical move of -0.9% and -4.1% over the week.our own prices
Dated ahead
- FOMC minutes release
- PCE inflation report (October 2026) 3 up · 6 down · -0.9%
- BTC monthly options expiry
- Fed rate decision and projections 3 up · 2 down · +0.2%
The last times
- CC around the last 6 Fed decisions: higher 3 times, lower 2 a day later, a typical move of +0.2% and -3.3% over the week.our own prices
The result is a fundamentally different model where rewards flow to those creating value through real activity, not only miners or early investors. (Smart Contract Platform, Layer 1 (L1), Privacy Blockchain)
CC price, with each time marked
Hourly, Oct 13 to Nov 14. A break in the line is an hour with no price.
whales buying far more than normalwhales selling far more than normalforced closes or a costly fee
Where the price was a day later
Every time, newest first
Times are UTC. Under each move: CC's usual move over the same stretch around then.
| When | What | Price then | 1 hour later | 4 hours later | 1 day later |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 20:00 UTC9 hours ago | Costly to bet on a fallnow | $0.08707-0.7% in that hour | -1.3%more than its usual 0.43% | -2.0%more than its usual 0.93% | not due yet |
| Nov 10, 20:00 UTC3 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $0.089110.0% in that hour | -0.7%more than its usual 0.47% | +0.9%usual 1.0% | +4.1%more than its usual 2.4% |
| Sep 23, 08:00 UTC52 days ago | Whales selling | $0.1119Hyperliquid-0.7% in that hour | +0.9%more than its usual 0.73% | +1.0%usual 1.4% | -3.1%usual 4.5% |
| Sep 13, 04:00 UTC62 days ago | Costly to bet on a fall | $0.09864Hyperliquid+0.8% in that hour | -0.5%more than its usual 0.45% | -3.4%more than its usual 1.0% | -2.5%usual 3.1% |
| Aug 31, 04:00 UTC75 days ago | Costly to bet on a fall | $0.1185Hyperliquid-0.4% in that hour | +0.2%usual 0.51% | +1.4%more than its usual 1.1% | +3.9%more than its usual 2.6% |
| Aug 30, 08:00 UTC76 days ago | Costly to bet on a fall | $0.1194Hyperliquid+0.4% in that hour | -0.8%more than its usual 0.51% | +0.3%usual 1.1% | +0.6%usual 2.7% |
| Aug 27, 16:00 UTC79 days ago | Costly to bet on a fall | $0.1171Hyperliquid-0.8% in that hour | -3.1%more than its usual 0.58% | -3.6%more than its usual 1.3% | -5.8%more than its usual 3.1% |
| Aug 19, 00:00 UTC87 days ago | Costly to bet on a fall | $0.09081Hyperliquid-0.4% in that hour | -0.1%usual 0.54% | -1.2%more than its usual 1.1% | +11.0%more than its usual 2.7% |
| Aug 18, 08:00 UTC88 days ago | Costly to bet on a fall | $0.09163Hyperliquid-0.6% in that hour | -0.4%usual 0.50% | +0.2%usual 1.1% | -2.1%usual 2.6% |
| Aug 17, 20:00 UTC88 days ago | Costly to bet on a fall | $0.09065Hyperliquid+0.2% in that hour | -0.2%usual 0.52% | +0.1%usual 1.0% | -0.5%usual 2.6% |
| Aug 16, 14:00 UTC90 days ago | Costly to bet on a fall | $0.09612Hyperliquid0.0% in that hour | -0.5%usual 0.50% | -0.8%usual 1.0% | -4.0%more than its usual 2.7% |
How far above normal each time ran, and its buy and sell split, come with a paid plan. Start free, no card New accounts get 7 days of Pro. No card, nothing to cancel.
Not financial advice. A past move does not tell you the next one.
How this is counted
A time starts when whales trade far more CC in one hour than is normal for it, after at least six quiet hours. We note the price at the end of that hour, then one hour, four hours and one day later. Within half a percent either way is about flat.
Prices are our own hourly prices across exchanges where we hold them. For an hour we do not hold, they are Hyperliquid's hourly prices, and that time is then counted on Hyperliquid's prices from start to finish, never a mix: 9 of the 11 times here, each marked in the table.
Bets closed by force: within one minute, bets on one side were force-closed on at least three exchanges. A bet turned costly to hold: the fee to keep a bet open, averaged across exchanges, went past 0.05% for bets on a rise or 0.03% for bets on a fall. Each is compared only with earlier times of its own kind on the same side.
In that hour, under the price, is the move from the end of the hour before to the end of the hour it began in. It is the hour it happened, not what came after.
The usual move is the middle move of CC's ordinary hours over the same stretch: half of them moved less, half more. Moved more than usual means further than that, up or down.
Ordinary is CC's other hours within seven days either side of each time, counted the same way on the same prices, with every hour inside an unusual time left out. A time with fewer than 72 such hours around it has no ordinary.
No price means neither has a price for that moment. It is left out of the counts and never treated as a move.
