Radar / AERO

AERO: every time whale trading went unusual

17 times in the last 50 days that whales traded far more AERO in one hour than is normal for it. Also listed: 5 times bets were closed by force, 7 times a bet turned costly to hold.

Whales selling, began 3 hours ago. The price is -1.3% since it began at $0.8669 on Hyperliquid.

AERO price, with each time marked

Hourly, Sep 13 to Oct 11. A break in the line is an hour with no price.

$0.9877 $0.5254

whales buying far more than normalwhales selling far more than normalforced closes or a costly fee

Where the price was a day later

After whales bought, 10 times
6 up4 down
Ordinary hours around those times: 50% up · 8% about flat · 42% down
Moved more than usual: 9 of 10 in the hour itself · 4 of 10 an hour later · 5 of 10 4 hours later · 6 of 10 a day later
After whales sold, 7 times
2 up4 down1 not due yet
Ordinary hours around those times: 50% up · 9% about flat · 41% down
Moved more than usual: 6 of 7 in the hour itself · 3 of 7 an hour later · 4 of 6 4 hours later · 1 of 6 a day later
After bets on a rise were force-closed, 2 times
2 down
Ordinary hours around those times: 48% up · 9% about flat · 43% down
Moved more than usual: 2 of 2 in the hour itself · 1 of 2 an hour later · 1 of 2 4 hours later · 1 of 2 a day later
After bets on a fall were force-closed, 3 times
3 down
Ordinary hours around 2 of those 3 times: 49% up · 7% about flat · 44% down
Moved more than usual: 2 of 2 in the hour itself · 2 of 2 an hour later · 2 of 2 4 hours later · 2 of 2 a day later
After betting on a fall turned costly, 7 times
3 up1 about flat3 down
Ordinary hours around those times: 40% up · 9% about flat · 51% down
Moved more than usual: 4 of 7 in the hour itself · 5 of 7 an hour later · 5 of 7 4 hours later · 3 of 7 a day later

Every time, newest first

Times are UTC. Under each move: AERO's usual move over the same stretch around then.

When What Price then 1 hour later 4 hours later 1 day later
Oct 14, 13:00 UTC3 hours ago Whales sellingnow $0.8669Hyperliquid-1.7% in that hour -0.2%usual 0.65% not due yet not due yet
Oct 10, 22:00 UTC4 days ago Whales buying $0.9387Hyperliquid+1.0% in that hour +0.3%usual 0.61% +1.0%usual 1.0% +0.6%usual 3.2%
Oct 10, 13:00 UTC4 days ago Whales buying $0.8994Hyperliquid+1.1% in that hour +0.8%more than its usual 0.61% 0.0%usual 1.1% +8.4%more than its usual 3.5%
Oct 9, 02:00 UTC6 days ago Whales buying $0.8519Hyperliquid+2.1% in that hour -0.4%usual 0.59% -3.5%more than its usual 1.1% -5.7%more than its usual 3.6%
Oct 8, 15:00 UTC6 days ago Whales selling $0.7889Hyperliquid-5.6% in that hour -0.2%usual 0.59% +4.8%more than its usual 1.1% +3.3%more than its usual 3.2%
Oct 1, 20:00 UTC13 days ago Whales selling $0.789Hyperliquid+1.2% in that hour -0.5%usual 0.63% +0.2%usual 1.1% -2.3%usual 3.2%
Sep 28, 16:00 UTC16 days ago Whales buying $0.8175Hyperliquid+3.3% in that hour +0.9%more than its usual 0.72% +1.1%usual 1.3% -2.7%usual 3.2%
Sep 26, 21:00 UTC18 days ago Whales selling $0.8746Hyperliquid+1.1% in that hour -0.5%usual 0.71% -0.3%usual 1.5% -3.1%usual 3.7%
Sep 26, 07:00 UTC18 days ago Bets on a fall force-closed $0.8817-2.4% in that hour +0.6% +2.3% -2.7%
Sep 25, 16:00 UTC19 days ago Whales buying $0.8441Hyperliquid+6.0% in that hour +0.7%usual 0.74% -1.3%usual 1.5% +4.3%more than its usual 3.4%
Sep 20, 03:00 UTC25 days ago Whales buying $0.6453Hyperliquid+0.5% in that hour -0.4%usual 0.61% +0.2%usual 1.3% +4.0%usual 4.2%
Sep 19, 16:00 UTC25 days ago Whales selling $0.6711Hyperliquid-0.4% in that hour -1.4%more than its usual 0.57% -1.4%more than its usual 1.3% -0.7%usual 4.1%
Sep 19, 01:00 UTC26 days ago Whales selling $0.6392Hyperliquid-1.4% in that hour +1.6%more than its usual 0.53% +5.2%more than its usual 1.2% +3.2%usual 3.9%
Sep 18, 19:00 UTC26 days ago Whales buying $0.6715Hyperliquid+1.3% in that hour +2.8%more than its usual 0.52% -4.4%more than its usual 1.2% -1.4%usual 3.9%
Sep 18, 03:00 UTC27 days ago Whales buying $0.6059Hyperliquid+2.3% in that hour +0.4%usual 0.53% +5.1%more than its usual 1.2% +9.4%more than its usual 3.8%
Sep 17, 15:00 UTC27 days ago Whales buying $0.5905Hyperliquid-0.6% in that hour -0.1%usual 0.53% -1.3%more than its usual 1.2% +10.1%more than its usual 3.8%
Sep 8, 17:00 UTC36 days ago Bets on a rise force-closed $0.6157Hyperliquid-0.8% in that hour -1.2%more than its usual 0.52% +0.1%usual 1.1% -7.2%more than its usual 3.6%
Sep 8, 03:00 UTC37 days ago Bets on a fall force-closedWhales were buying 1h earlier $0.6728Hyperliquid+4.6% in that hour -2.8%more than its usual 0.54% -5.6%more than its usual 1.1% -8.5%more than its usual 3.8%
Sep 8, 02:00 UTC37 days ago Whales buyingBets on a fall were force-closed 1h later $0.6434Hyperliquid-2.0% in that hour +4.6%more than its usual 0.54% -1.8%more than its usual 1.1% -4.4%more than its usual 3.8%
Sep 7, 19:00 UTC37 days ago Bets on a fall force-closed $0.63Hyperliquid+3.7% in that hour -3.0%more than its usual 0.51% -1.8%more than its usual 1.1% -3.7%more than its usual 3.6%
Sep 1, 21:00 UTC43 days ago Bets on a rise force-closed $0.4698Hyperliquid-0.6% in that hour -0.2%usual 0.51% -1.1%more than its usual 1.1% -1.5%usual 3.0%
Aug 26, 02:00 UTC50 days ago Whales selling $0.5257Hyperliquid+1.1% in that hour -0.9%more than its usual 0.56% -1.6%more than its usual 1.3% -1.1%usual 3.2%
Aug 1, 20:00 UTC74 days ago Costly to bet on a fall $0.401Hyperliquid-0.3% in that hour +0.3%usual 0.45% +0.1%usual 0.89% +0.1%usual 2.6%
Aug 1, 13:00 UTC74 days ago Costly to bet on a fall $0.4149Hyperliquid+0.9% in that hour -0.8%more than its usual 0.46% -2.1%more than its usual 0.91% -4.7%more than its usual 2.5%
Jul 31, 08:00 UTC75 days ago Costly to bet on a fall $0.4247Hyperliquid+0.5% in that hour -0.9%more than its usual 0.48% -1.1%more than its usual 1.0% -1.5%usual 2.5%
Jul 29, 04:00 UTC78 days ago Costly to bet on a fall $0.4226Hyperliquid+0.2% in that hour +1.5%more than its usual 0.51% +1.6%more than its usual 1.0% +1.5%usual 2.6%
Jul 25, 16:00 UTC81 days ago Costly to bet on a fall $0.4073Hyperliquid-1.3% in that hour +0.6%more than its usual 0.53% +1.2%more than its usual 1.1% +1.9%usual 2.6%
Jul 23, 07:00 UTC83 days ago Costly to bet on a fall $0.4199Hyperliquid-1.3% in that hour +1.1%more than its usual 0.61% -1.5%more than its usual 1.3% +3.3%more than its usual 2.4%
Jul 22, 12:00 UTC84 days ago Costly to bet on a fall $0.4321Hyperliquid-1.5% in that hour +0.4%usual 0.61% +0.7%usual 1.3% -3.2%more than its usual 2.5%

How far above normal each time ran, and its buy and sell split, come with a paid plan. Start free, no card New accounts get 7 days of Pro. No card, nothing to cancel.

Not financial advice. A past move does not tell you the next one.

How this is counted

A time starts when whales trade far more AERO in one hour than is normal for it, after at least six quiet hours. We note the price at the end of that hour, then one hour, four hours and one day later. Within half a percent either way is about flat.

Prices are our own hourly prices across exchanges where we hold them. For an hour we do not hold, they are Hyperliquid's hourly prices, and that time is then counted on Hyperliquid's prices from start to finish, never a mix: 28 of the 29 times here, each marked in the table.

Bets closed by force: within one minute, bets on one side were force-closed on at least three exchanges. A bet turned costly to hold: the fee to keep a bet open, averaged across exchanges, went past 0.05% for bets on a rise or 0.03% for bets on a fall. Each is compared only with earlier times of its own kind on the same side.

In that hour, under the price, is the move from the end of the hour before to the end of the hour it began in. It is the hour it happened, not what came after.

The usual move is the middle move of AERO's ordinary hours over the same stretch: half of them moved less, half more. Moved more than usual means further than that, up or down.

Ordinary is AERO's other hours within seven days either side of each time, counted the same way on the same prices, with every hour inside an unusual time left out. A time with fewer than 72 such hours around it has no ordinary.

No price means neither has a price for that moment. It is left out of the counts and never treated as a move.