Radar / ICP
ICP: every time whale trading went unusual
26 times in the last 83 days that whales traded far more ICP in one hour than is normal for it. Also listed: 1 time a bet turned costly to hold.
Whales trading both ways, began 1 hour ago. The price is +1.1% since it began at $2.54.
The case both ways
Facts with their sources, and what followed the last times of each kind. Neither side is weighed.
Points up
- A federal judge in California dismissed the class action against DFINITY, its founder Dominic Williams and board member Gian Bochsler, ruling the claims were time-barred.securities.stanford · 30 Apr 2024
- DFINITY announced that the Internet Computer can be used as a connector inside Anthropic's Claude AI, so users can build on it through chat.coinmarketcap · 30 Oct
- Pakistan's Digital Authority chair met DFINITY leadership in Dubai to discuss deploying a sovereign AI factory for public-sector software.coinmarketcap · 26 Oct
- Chainspect data showed the Internet Computer processing about 2,323 transactions per second over a week, above Solana's 1,896.coinmarketcap · 24 Oct
Points down
- The lead plaintiff filed a notice of appeal of the court's judgment in the ICP securities case on May 7, 2025.securities.stanford · 7 May 2025
- The current network-wide cycle-burn rate is about 0.0689 TCYCLES per second, roughly one-fifteenth of the 0.77 XDR per second that Mission 70 targets.tokenpost
- The Mission 70 whitepaper states that the Cloud Engine burn figures are still unproven, and commentators say the first measurable Cloud Engine burn data is still needed.tokenpost
- According to CoinMarketCap's coverage, ICP fell about 11% over seven days after breaking chart support near $2.85, with sentiment around the founder described as polarized.coinmarketcap
Dated ahead
- US October producer price index (BLS)
- FOMC minutes release
- PCE inflation report (October 2026) 7 up · 12 down · -1.5%
- Fed rate decision and projections 17 up · 23 down · -1.0%
The last times
- ICP around the last 41 Fed decisions: higher 17 times, lower 23 a day later, a typical move of -1% and -2.1% over the week.our own prices
Sovereign frontier cloud for AI that builds AI agents are starting to build and operate real software. (Artificial Intelligence (AI), Infrastructure, Smart Contract Platform)
ICP price, with each time marked
Hourly, Oct 10 to Nov 11. A break in the line is an hour with no price.
whales buying far more than normalwhales selling far more than normalforced closes or a costly fee
Where the price was a day later
Every time, newest first
Times are UTC. Under each move: ICP's usual move over the same stretch around then.
| When | What | Price then | 1 hour later | 4 hours later | 1 day later |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 23:00 UTC1 hour ago | Whales trading both waysnow | $2.53-0.1% in that hour | not due yet | not due yet | not due yet |
| Oct 30, 05:00 UTC12 days ago | Costly to bet on a fall | $2.460.0% in that hour | +0.1%usual 0.42% | +0.5%usual 0.75% | +1.5%usual 1.6% |
| Oct 20, 15:00 UTC21 days ago | Whales selling | $2.87-2.2% in that hour | +0.8%more than its usual 0.47% | +1.5%more than its usual 0.78% | +3.6%more than its usual 1.9% |
| Oct 13, 00:00 UTC29 days ago | Whales buying | $3.03-2.9% in that hour | +2.7%more than its usual 0.52% | +5.4%more than its usual 0.94% | +3.2%more than its usual 2.7% |
| Oct 11, 20:00 UTC30 days ago | Whales buying | $3.42+2.4% in that hour | +2.0%more than its usual 0.54% | +1.4%more than its usual 1.0% | -5.1%more than its usual 2.8% |
| Oct 9, 05:00 UTC33 days ago | Whales buying | $3.05Hyperliquid+0.7% in that hour | -1.0%more than its usual 0.58% | -1.3%more than its usual 1.2% | +3.9%more than its usual 3.5% |
| Oct 6, 16:00 UTC35 days ago | Whales selling | $3.43Hyperliquid+0.9% in that hour | +0.3%usual 0.60% | -1.1%usual 1.2% | -8.3%more than its usual 3.3% |
| Oct 6, 02:00 UTC36 days ago | Whales selling | $3.50Hyperliquid-0.9% in that hour | -1.4%more than its usual 0.60% | -1.3%more than its usual 1.2% | -7.5%more than its usual 3.3% |
| Oct 5, 18:00 UTC36 days ago | Whales selling | $3.57Hyperliquid+2.1% in that hour | +0.3%usual 0.60% | +0.5%usual 1.2% | -3.8%more than its usual 3.5% |
| Oct 4, 05:00 UTC38 days ago | Whales buying | $3.43Hyperliquid-2.3% in that hour | -1.1%more than its usual 0.62% | -2.7%more than its usual 1.2% | -4.4%more than its usual 3.6% |
| Oct 2, 21:00 UTC39 days ago | Whales selling | $3.26Hyperliquid+1.5% in that hour | -0.2%usual 0.63% | +1.9%more than its usual 1.2% | +2.4%usual 3.4% |
| Sep 30, 13:00 UTC42 days ago | Whales selling | $3.46Hyperliquid-1.7% in that hour | -0.8%more than its usual 0.64% | -0.8%usual 1.2% | -5.0%more than its usual 2.9% |
| Sep 30, 02:00 UTC42 days ago | Whales selling | $3.37Hyperliquid-3.4% in that hour | -0.2%usual 0.67% | +0.3%usual 1.2% | +1.2%usual 3.0% |
| Sep 29, 13:00 UTC42 days ago | Whales buying | $3.45Hyperliquid+3.6% in that hour | -0.9%more than its usual 0.67% | -3.4%more than its usual 1.2% | +0.2%usual 3.0% |
| Sep 25, 10:00 UTC47 days ago | Whales buying | $3.25Hyperliquid+1.2% in that hour | -0.4%usual 0.63% | -3.1%more than its usual 1.1% | -0.7%usual 2.9% |
| Sep 23, 14:00 UTC48 days ago | Whales selling | $2.95Hyperliquid-5.2% in that hour | -3.2%more than its usual 0.63% | -1.3%more than its usual 1.1% | +4.0%more than its usual 3.5% |
| Sep 22, 18:00 UTC49 days ago | Whales selling | $2.96Hyperliquid+0.3% in that hour | +1.3%more than its usual 0.62% | +0.9%usual 1.1% | -1.7%usual 3.3% |
| Sep 21, 18:00 UTC50 days ago | Whales selling | $2.92Hyperliquid+0.7% in that hour | +0.7%more than its usual 0.57% | +3.2%more than its usual 1.1% | +1.3%usual 3.4% |
| Sep 21, 04:00 UTC51 days ago | Whales buying | $2.97Hyperliquid-2.1% in that hour | -1.0%more than its usual 0.54% | +0.2%usual 1.1% | -1.6%usual 3.4% |
| Sep 20, 10:00 UTC52 days ago | Whales selling | $2.79Hyperliquid-0.1% in that hour | 0.0%usual 0.55% | -1.2%more than its usual 1.1% | +6.5%more than its usual 3.2% |
| Sep 19, 21:00 UTC52 days ago | Whales selling | $2.85Hyperliquid-1.7% in that hour | +0.6%more than its usual 0.55% | -0.2%usual 1.2% | +1.7%usual 3.1% |
| Sep 19, 12:00 UTC53 days ago | Whales selling | $2.91Hyperliquid+0.8% in that hour | -0.9%more than its usual 0.54% | -0.3%usual 1.1% | -4.1%more than its usual 3.1% |
| Sep 18, 16:00 UTC53 days ago | Whales buying | $2.82Hyperliquid-0.4% in that hour | -0.5%usual 0.52% | +1.6%more than its usual 1.1% | +2.6%usual 3.2% |
| Sep 17, 19:00 UTC54 days ago | Whales buying | $2.63Hyperliquid+0.3% in that hour | +0.6%more than its usual 0.54% | +0.3%usual 1.1% | +8.6%more than its usual 3.0% |
| Sep 16, 05:00 UTC56 days ago | Whales selling | $2.51Hyperliquid-0.1% in that hour | +0.5%more than its usual 0.53% | -0.4%usual 1.0% | +1.8%usual 2.9% |
| Aug 24, 10:00 UTC79 days ago | Whales buying | $2.42Hyperliquid+0.5% in that hour | +1.4%more than its usual 0.48% | +0.4%usual 1.0% | +0.6%usual 2.4% |
| Aug 15, 15:00 UTC87 days ago | Whales selling | $2.28Hyperliquid+0.9% in that hour | 0.0%usual 0.42% | -0.8%usual 0.94% | +0.1%usual 2.6% |
How far above normal each time ran, and its buy and sell split, come with a paid plan. Start free, no card New accounts get 7 days of Pro. No card, nothing to cancel.
Not financial advice. A past move does not tell you the next one.
How this is counted
A time starts when whales trade far more ICP in one hour than is normal for it, after at least six quiet hours. We note the price at the end of that hour, then one hour, four hours and one day later. Within half a percent either way is about flat.
Prices are our own hourly prices across exchanges where we hold them. For an hour we do not hold, they are Hyperliquid's hourly prices, and that time is then counted on Hyperliquid's prices from start to finish, never a mix: 22 of the 27 times here, each marked in the table.
Bets closed by force: within one minute, bets on one side were force-closed on at least three exchanges. A bet turned costly to hold: the fee to keep a bet open, averaged across exchanges, went past 0.05% for bets on a rise or 0.03% for bets on a fall. Each is compared only with earlier times of its own kind on the same side.
In that hour, under the price, is the move from the end of the hour before to the end of the hour it began in. It is the hour it happened, not what came after.
The usual move is the middle move of ICP's ordinary hours over the same stretch: half of them moved less, half more. Moved more than usual means further than that, up or down.
Ordinary is ICP's other hours within seven days either side of each time, counted the same way on the same prices, with every hour inside an unusual time left out. A time with fewer than 72 such hours around it has no ordinary.
No price means neither has a price for that moment. It is left out of the counts and never treated as a move.
