Radar / PONS
PONS: every time whale trading went unusual
22 times in the last 66 days that whales traded far more PONS in one hour than is normal for it. Also listed: 7 times bets were closed by force, 8 times a bet turned costly to hold.
Whales selling, began 2 hours ago. The price is +2.3% since it began at $0.1817 on Hyperliquid.
The case both ways
Facts with their sources, and what followed the last times of each kind. Neither side is weighed.
Points up
- PONS-USD spot trading opened on Coinbase Exchange and Coinbase Advanced on October 7, 2026, with limit, market and stop orders supported.cryptobriefing · 7 Oct
- Coinbase added PONS to its listing roadmap on October 6, 2026.cryptobriefing · 6 Oct
- Pons said on October 6, 2026 that 32% of the total PONS supply had been burned, leaving about 679 million tokens in circulation.airdropalert · 6 Oct
- Binance Alpha added PONS on September 2, 2026.airdropalert · 2 Sep
Points down
- Whales mostly sold PONS in the unusual time that began 2 hours ago.
- The last 10 times whales sold it like this: higher 4 times, lower 6 a day later.
- Daily revenue on the Pons launchpad fell from close to $2 million to roughly $240,000 by early October 2026.airdropalert
- The PONS token price fell to about half of its peak after the launchpad competition intensified, according to AirdropAlert.airdropalert
Dated ahead
- PCE inflation report (October 2026) 6 up · 4 down · +0.9%
- Fed rate decision and projections 2 up · 4 down · -3.6%
- PCE inflation report (November 2026) 6 up · 4 down · +0.9%
- PCE inflation report (December 2026) 6 up · 4 down · +0.9%
The last times
- BTC around the last 11 PCE inflation reports: higher 6 times, lower 4 a day later, a typical move of +0.9% and -0.2% over the week.our own prices
(Robinhood Ecosystem)
PONS price, with each time marked
Hourly, Sep 8 to Oct 31. A break in the line is an hour with no price.
whales buying far more than normalwhales selling far more than normalforced closes or a costly fee
Where the price was a day later
Every time, newest first
Times are UTC. Under each move: PONS's usual move over the same stretch around then.
| When | What | Price then | 1 hour later | 4 hours later | 1 day later |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 23:00 UTC2 hours ago | Whales sellingnow | $0.1817Hyperliquid-1.8% in that hour | +2.3%more than its usual 0.92% | not due yet | not due yet |
| Oct 29, 21:00 UTC7 days ago | Whales buying | $0.2399Hyperliquid-1.4% in that hour | -2.6%more than its usual 0.90% | -6.7%more than its usual 1.8% | -3.1%usual 6.2% |
| Oct 28, 03:00 UTC9 days ago | Whales selling | $0.2953Hyperliquid+2.0% in that hour | +2.1%more than its usual 0.86% | -0.2%usual 1.8% | -7.7%more than its usual 6.1% |
| Oct 24, 15:00 UTC12 days ago | Whales buying | $0.2246Hyperliquid+0.7% in that hour | +2.1%more than its usual 0.87% | +1.2%usual 1.7% | +7.0%more than its usual 5.4% |
| Oct 12, 14:00 UTC24 days ago | Whales selling | $0.3Hyperliquid-2.6% in that hour | -1.8%more than its usual 1.0% | -1.0%usual 2.1% | -0.9%usual 7.0% |
| Oct 8, 10:00 UTC29 days ago | Whales selling | $0.3845Hyperliquid-5.4% in that hour | -1.7%more than its usual 1.0% | +1.8%usual 2.2% | -9.8%more than its usual 5.2% |
| Oct 8, 02:00 UTC29 days ago | Whales buying | $0.4251Hyperliquid+12.1% in that hour | +0.2%usual 1.0% | -3.0%more than its usual 2.2% | -15.1%more than its usual 5.0% |
| Oct 3, 15:00 UTC33 days ago | Whales selling | $0.4187Hyperliquid-0.4% in that hour | -2.2%more than its usual 1.0% | -3.2%more than its usual 2.1% | -7.2%more than its usual 4.2% |
| Oct 2, 18:00 UTC34 days ago | Whales buying | $0.4674Hyperliquid-6.7% in that hour | -1.4%more than its usual 1.0% | -4.8%more than its usual 2.0% | -12.7%more than its usual 4.1% |
| Sep 22, 22:00 UTC44 days ago | Whales buying | $0.6954-3.7% in that hour | +2.2% | +4.6% | -8.6% |
| Sep 15, 22:00 UTC51 days ago | Whales buying | $0.6318Hyperliquid-0.6% in that hour | +0.4%usual 1.5% | -3.8%more than its usual 3.4% | -12.5%more than its usual 8.3% |
| Sep 15, 12:00 UTC52 days ago | Bets on a fall force-closed | $0.6806Hyperliquid+6.2% in that hour | -4.1%more than its usual 1.6% | -3.1%usual 3.4% | -15.5%more than its usual 8.7% |
| Sep 14, 14:00 UTC52 days ago | Whales buying | $0.5798Hyperliquid+5.9% in that hour | +3.8%more than its usual 1.5% | +8.5%more than its usual 3.4% | +9.0%more than its usual 7.8% |
| Sep 14, 05:00 UTC53 days ago | Bets on a rise force-closedWhales were selling at the same time | $0.5272Hyperliquid-2.8% in that hour | +1.2%usual 1.7% | +8.7%more than its usual 3.5% | +20.0%more than its usual 8.8% |
| Sep 14, 05:00 UTC53 days ago | Whales sellingBets on a rise were force-closed at the same time | $0.5272Hyperliquid-2.8% in that hour | +1.2%usual 1.6% | +8.7%more than its usual 3.4% | +20.0%more than its usual 8.3% |
| Sep 13, 10:00 UTC54 days ago | Whales selling | $0.5443Hyperliquid-2.7% in that hour | +0.7%usual 1.7% | +0.7%usual 3.5% | +4.1%usual 8.6% |
| Sep 11, 12:00 UTC56 days ago | Whales buyingBets on a rise were force-closed 2h earlier | $0.6199Hyperliquid+4.3% in that hour | +5.8%more than its usual 1.8% | -1.9%usual 3.7% | +3.8%usual 8.5% |
| Sep 11, 10:00 UTC56 days ago | Bets on a rise force-closedWhales were buying 2h later | $0.6018Hyperliquid-2.0% in that hour | -1.3%usual 2.0% | +9.1%more than its usual 3.9% | +7.4%usual 9.8% |
| Sep 11, 02:00 UTC56 days ago | Whales selling | $0.6079Hyperliquid+0.1% in that hour | +4.7%more than its usual 1.9% | +8.8%more than its usual 3.7% | -2.1%usual 8.6% |
| Sep 10, 08:00 UTC57 days ago | Whales sellingBets on a rise were force-closed 2 min earlier | $0.5998Hyperliquid-5.6% in that hour | -7.3%more than its usual 1.8% | -5.3%more than its usual 3.7% | +7.6%usual 9.0% |
| Sep 10, 08:00 UTC57 days ago | Bets on a rise force-closedWhales were selling 2 min later | $0.5998Hyperliquid-5.6% in that hour | -7.3%more than its usual 2.1% | -5.3%more than its usual 4.0% | +7.6%usual 11.3% |
| Sep 9, 18:00 UTC57 days ago | Bets on a rise force-closedWhales were selling 3h earlier | $0.6644Hyperliquid-2.7% in that hour | -3.1%more than its usual 2.1% | -1.6%usual 4.0% | -10.7%usual 11.4% |
| Sep 9, 15:00 UTC57 days ago | Whales sellingBets on a rise were force-closed 3h later | $0.7017Hyperliquid-5.2% in that hour | +1.2%usual 1.8% | -8.3%more than its usual 3.8% | -21.7%more than its usual 8.5% |
| Sep 9, 06:00 UTC58 days ago | Whales buying | $0.8113Hyperliquid-0.2% in that hour | -0.1%usual 1.9% | -3.9%usual 4.0% | -19.9%more than its usual 8.3% |
| Sep 8, 13:00 UTC59 days ago | Bets on a fall force-closed | $0.7528Hyperliquid0.0% in that hour | -0.5%usual 2.3% | +7.7%more than its usual 4.3% | +3.3%usual 11.7% |
| Sep 8, 03:00 UTC59 days ago | Whales selling | $0.7122Hyperliquid+1.3% in that hour | -3.2%more than its usual 2.0% | -0.9%usual 4.3% | +7.3%usual 8.2% |
| Sep 7, 20:00 UTC59 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $0.7136Hyperliquid-1.2% in that hour | 0.0%usual 2.3% | +1.7%usual 4.8% | +14.7%more than its usual 11.7% |
| Sep 6, 18:00 UTC60 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $0.7948Hyperliquid-4.2% in that hour | +4.8%more than its usual 2.4% | +2.8%usual 4.9% | -13.2%more than its usual 11.8% |
| Sep 6, 02:00 UTC61 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $0.8894Hyperliquid-6.3% in that hour | -1.0%usual 2.4% | -0.3%usual 5.0% | -13.8%more than its usual 12.7% |
| Sep 5, 08:00 UTC62 days ago | Bets on a rise force-closedBetting on a rise was costly 1h earlier | $0.8323Hyperliquid+8.6% in that hour | +4.9%more than its usual 2.6% | +8.2%more than its usual 5.0% | +12.7%usual 12.9% |
| Sep 5, 07:00 UTC62 days ago | Costly to bet on a riseBets on a rise were force-closed 1h later | $0.7663Hyperliquid+3.5% in that hour | +8.6%more than its usual 2.6% | +10.9%more than its usual 5.1% | +21.0%more than its usual 12.7% |
| Sep 4, 04:00 UTC63 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $0.6693Hyperliquid-2.7% in that hour | -0.2%usual 2.7% | +1.0%usual 5.1% | +2.9%usual 13.7% |
| Sep 2, 22:00 UTC64 days ago | Costly to bet on a riseWhales were buying 52 min earlier | $0.4832Hyperliquid+5.5% in that hour | -5.1%more than its usual 2.7% | +0.3%usual 5.3% | +35.0%more than its usual 14.9% |
| Sep 2, 22:00 UTC64 days ago | Whales buyingBetting on a rise was costly 52 min later | $0.4832Hyperliquid+5.5% in that hour | -5.1%more than its usual 3.2% | +0.3%usual 5.7% | +35.0%more than its usual 14.0% |
| Sep 2, 08:00 UTC65 days ago | Whales buying | $0.3875Hyperliquid-1.7% in that hour | -4.4%more than its usual 3.0% | -0.2%usual 5.7% | +34.4%more than its usual 12.9% |
| Sep 1, 06:00 UTC66 days ago | Costly to bet on a fall | $0.4697Hyperliquid+0.4% in that hour | -0.8%usual 2.9% | -5.5%more than its usual 5.3% | -11.9%usual 14.5% |
| Aug 31, 19:00 UTC66 days ago | Costly to bet on a fall | $0.3858Hyperliquid+0.2% in that hour | -6.2%more than its usual 2.9% | +3.8%usual 5.4% | +10.3%usual 14.7% |
How far above normal each time ran, and its buy and sell split, come with a paid plan. Start free, no card New accounts get 7 days of Pro. No card, nothing to cancel.
Not financial advice. A past move does not tell you the next one.
How this is counted
A time starts when whales trade far more PONS in one hour than is normal for it, after at least six quiet hours. We note the price at the end of that hour, then one hour, four hours and one day later. Within half a percent either way is about flat.
Prices are our own hourly prices across exchanges where we hold them. For an hour we do not hold, they are Hyperliquid's hourly prices, and that time is then counted on Hyperliquid's prices from start to finish, never a mix: 36 of the 37 times here, each marked in the table.
Bets closed by force: within one minute, bets on one side were force-closed on at least three exchanges. A bet turned costly to hold: the fee to keep a bet open, averaged across exchanges, went past 0.05% for bets on a rise or 0.03% for bets on a fall. Each is compared only with earlier times of its own kind on the same side.
In that hour, under the price, is the move from the end of the hour before to the end of the hour it began in. It is the hour it happened, not what came after.
The usual move is the middle move of PONS's ordinary hours over the same stretch: half of them moved less, half more. Moved more than usual means further than that, up or down.
Ordinary is PONS's other hours within seven days either side of each time, counted the same way on the same prices, with every hour inside an unusual time left out. A time with fewer than 72 such hours around it has no ordinary.
No price means neither has a price for that moment. It is left out of the counts and never treated as a move.
