Radar / PONS

PONS: every time whale trading went unusual

18 times in the last 42 days that whales traded far more PONS in one hour than is normal for it. Also listed: 7 times bets were closed by force, 8 times a bet turned costly to hold.

Whales selling, began 2 hours ago. The price is -1.8% since it began at $0.3 on Hyperliquid.

PONS price, with each time marked

Hourly, Sep 8 to Oct 11. A break in the line is an hour with no price.

$0.7774 $0.3426

whales buying far more than normalwhales selling far more than normalforced closes or a costly fee

Where the price was a day later

After whales bought, 9 times
2 up4 down3 no price
Ordinary hours around 5 of those 6 times: 37% up · 6% about flat · 57% down
Moved more than usual: 4 of 5 in the hour itself · 3 of 5 an hour later · 4 of 5 4 hours later · 4 of 5 a day later
After whales sold, 9 times
3 up4 down1 no price1 not due yet
Ordinary hours around those times: 39% up · 6% about flat · 55% down
Moved more than usual: 5 of 7 in the hour itself · 5 of 8 an hour later · 5 of 7 4 hours later · 4 of 7 a day later
After bets on a rise were force-closed, 5 times
3 up1 down1 no price
Ordinary hours around those times: 46% up · 6% about flat · 48% down
Moved more than usual: 4 of 4 in the hour itself · 2 of 4 an hour later · 3 of 4 4 hours later · 2 of 4 a day later
After bets on a fall were force-closed, 2 times
1 down1 no price
Ordinary hours around that time: 50% up · 5% about flat · 45% down
Moved more than usual: 1 of 1 in the hour itself · 1 of 1 an hour later · 0 of 1 4 hours later · 1 of 1 a day later
After betting on a rise turned costly, 6 times
6 no price
After betting on a fall turned costly, 2 times
2 no price

Every time, newest first

Times are UTC. Under each move: PONS's usual move over the same stretch around then.

When What Price then 1 hour later 4 hours later 1 day later
Oct 12, 14:00 UTC2 hours ago Whales sellingnow $0.3Hyperliquid-2.6% in that hour -1.8%more than its usual 1.0% not due yet not due yet
Oct 8, 10:00 UTC4 days ago Whales selling $0.3845Hyperliquid-5.4% in that hour -1.7%more than its usual 0.94% +1.8%usual 2.1% -9.8%more than its usual 4.4%
Oct 8, 02:00 UTC5 days ago Whales buying $0.4251Hyperliquid+12.1% in that hour +0.2%usual 0.94% -3.0%more than its usual 2.1% -15.1%more than its usual 4.3%
Oct 3, 15:00 UTC9 days ago Whales selling $0.4187Hyperliquid-0.4% in that hour -2.2%more than its usual 1.0% -3.2%more than its usual 2.1% -7.2%more than its usual 4.2%
Oct 2, 18:00 UTC10 days ago Whales buying $0.4674Hyperliquid-6.7% in that hour -1.4%more than its usual 1.0% -4.8%more than its usual 2.0% -12.7%more than its usual 4.1%
Sep 22, 22:00 UTC20 days ago Whales buying $0.6954-3.7% in that hour +2.2% +4.6% -8.6%
Sep 15, 22:00 UTC27 days ago Whales buying $0.6318Hyperliquid-0.6% in that hour +0.4%usual 1.5% -3.8%more than its usual 3.3% -12.5%more than its usual 7.6%
Sep 15, 12:00 UTC27 days ago Bets on a fall force-closed $0.6806Hyperliquid+6.2% in that hour -4.1%more than its usual 1.5% -3.1%usual 3.3% -15.5%more than its usual 7.9%
Sep 14, 14:00 UTC28 days ago Whales buying $0.5798Hyperliquid+5.9% in that hour +3.8%more than its usual 1.5% +8.5%more than its usual 3.3% +9.0%more than its usual 7.2%
Sep 14, 05:00 UTC28 days ago Bets on a rise force-closedWhales were selling at the same time $0.5272Hyperliquid-2.8% in that hour +1.2%usual 1.6% +8.7%more than its usual 3.4% +20.0%more than its usual 7.6%
Sep 14, 05:00 UTC28 days ago Whales sellingBets on a rise were force-closed at the same time $0.5272Hyperliquid-2.8% in that hour +1.2%usual 1.5% +8.7%more than its usual 3.3% +20.0%more than its usual 7.4%
Sep 13, 10:00 UTC29 days ago Whales selling $0.5443Hyperliquid-2.7% in that hour +0.7%usual 1.6% +0.7%usual 3.4% +4.1%usual 8.0%
Sep 11, 12:00 UTC31 days ago Whales buyingBets on a rise were force-closed 2h earlier $0.6199Hyperliquid+4.3% in that hour +5.8%more than its usual 1.8% -1.9%usual 3.6% +3.8%usual 7.6%
Sep 11, 10:00 UTC31 days ago Bets on a rise force-closedWhales were buying 2h later $0.6018Hyperliquid-2.0% in that hour -1.3%usual 1.9% +9.1%more than its usual 3.6% +7.4%usual 7.8%
Sep 11, 02:00 UTC32 days ago Whales selling $0.6079Hyperliquid+0.1% in that hour +4.7%more than its usual 1.8% +8.8%more than its usual 3.7% -2.1%usual 7.6%
Sep 10, 08:00 UTC32 days ago Whales sellingBets on a rise were force-closed 2 min earlier $0.5998Hyperliquid-5.6% in that hour -7.3%more than its usual 1.8% -5.3%more than its usual 3.6% +7.6%usual 8.0%
Sep 10, 08:00 UTC32 days ago Bets on a rise force-closedWhales were selling 2 min later $0.5998Hyperliquid-5.6% in that hour -7.3%more than its usual 1.9% -5.3%more than its usual 3.6% +7.6%usual 8.4%
Sep 9, 18:00 UTC33 days ago Bets on a rise force-closedWhales were selling 3h earlier $0.6644Hyperliquid-2.7% in that hour -3.1%more than its usual 1.9% -1.6%usual 3.6% -10.7%more than its usual 7.4%
Sep 9, 15:00 UTC33 days ago Whales sellingBets on a rise were force-closed 3h later $0.7017Hyperliquid +1.2%usual 1.8% -8.3%more than its usual 3.6% -21.7%more than its usual 6.9%
Sep 9, 06:00 UTC33 days ago Whales buying no price no price no price no price
Sep 8, 13:00 UTC34 days ago Bets on a fall force-closed no price no price no price no price
Sep 8, 03:00 UTC35 days ago Whales selling no price no price no price no price
Sep 7, 20:00 UTC35 days ago Costly to bet on a rise no price no price no price no price
Sep 6, 18:00 UTC36 days ago Costly to bet on a rise no price no price no price no price
Sep 6, 02:00 UTC37 days ago Costly to bet on a rise no price no price no price no price
Sep 5, 08:00 UTC37 days ago Bets on a rise force-closedBetting on a rise was costly 1h earlier no price no price no price no price
Sep 5, 07:00 UTC37 days ago Costly to bet on a riseBets on a rise were force-closed 1h later no price no price no price no price
Sep 4, 04:00 UTC38 days ago Costly to bet on a rise no price no price no price no price
Sep 2, 22:00 UTC40 days ago Costly to bet on a riseWhales were buying 52 min earlier no price no price no price no price
Sep 2, 22:00 UTC40 days ago Whales buyingBetting on a rise was costly 52 min later no price no price no price no price
Sep 2, 08:00 UTC40 days ago Whales buying no price no price no price no price
Sep 1, 06:00 UTC41 days ago Costly to bet on a fall no price no price no price no price
Aug 31, 19:00 UTC42 days ago Costly to bet on a fall no price no price no price no price

How far above normal each time ran, and its buy and sell split, come with a paid plan. Start free, no card New accounts get 7 days of Pro. No card, nothing to cancel.

Not financial advice. A past move does not tell you the next one.

How this is counted

A time starts when whales trade far more PONS in one hour than is normal for it, after at least six quiet hours. We note the price at the end of that hour, then one hour, four hours and one day later. Within half a percent either way is about flat.

Prices are our own hourly prices across exchanges where we hold them. For an hour we do not hold, they are Hyperliquid's hourly prices, and that time is then counted on Hyperliquid's prices from start to finish, never a mix: 18 of the 33 times here, each marked in the table.

Bets closed by force: within one minute, bets on one side were force-closed on at least three exchanges. A bet turned costly to hold: the fee to keep a bet open, averaged across exchanges, went past 0.05% for bets on a rise or 0.03% for bets on a fall. Each is compared only with earlier times of its own kind on the same side.

In that hour, under the price, is the move from the end of the hour before to the end of the hour it began in. It is the hour it happened, not what came after.

The usual move is the middle move of PONS's ordinary hours over the same stretch: half of them moved less, half more. Moved more than usual means further than that, up or down.

Ordinary is PONS's other hours within seven days either side of each time, counted the same way on the same prices, with every hour inside an unusual time left out. A time with fewer than 72 such hours around it has no ordinary.

No price means neither has a price for that moment. It is left out of the counts and never treated as a move.