Radar / XMR
XMR: every time whale trading went unusual
31 times in the last 61 days that whales traded far more XMR in one hour than is normal for it. Also listed: 26 times a bet turned costly to hold.
Whales selling, began 51 min ago.
XMR price, with each time marked
Hourly, Sep 16 to Oct 16. A break in the line is an hour with no price.
$600.00
$493.06
whales buying far more than normalwhales selling far more than normalforced closes or a costly fee
Where the price was a day later
After whales bought, 17 times
10 up2 about flat5 down
Ordinary hours around those times: 46% up · 14% about flat · 40% down
Moved more than usual: 12 of 16 in the hour itself · 7 of 17 an hour later · 11 of 17 4 hours later · 11 of 17 a day later
After whales sold, 13 times
7 up2 about flat3 down1 not due yet
Ordinary hours around those times: 48% up · 16% about flat · 36% down
Moved more than usual: 9 of 13 in the hour itself · 5 of 12 an hour later · 7 of 12 4 hours later · 6 of 12 a day later
After whales traded both ways, 1 time
1 down
Ordinary hours around that time: 33% up · 24% about flat · 43% down
Moved more than usual: 1 of 1 in the hour itself · 1 of 1 an hour later · 0 of 1 4 hours later · 1 of 1 a day later
After betting on a rise turned costly, 25 times
9 up4 about flat12 down
Ordinary hours around those times: 49% up · 16% about flat · 35% down
Moved more than usual: 14 of 24 in the hour itself · 12 of 25 an hour later · 17 of 25 4 hours later · 17 of 25 a day later
After betting on a fall turned costly, 1 time
1 up
Ordinary hours around that time: 46% up · 17% about flat · 37% down
Moved more than usual: 1 of 1 in the hour itself · 1 of 1 an hour later · 1 of 1 4 hours later · 0 of 1 a day later
Every time, newest first
Times are UTC. Under each move: XMR's usual move over the same stretch around then.
| When | What | Price then | 1 hour later | 4 hours later | 1 day later |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 17:00 UTC51 min ago | Whales sellingnow | $551.900.0% in that hour | not due yet | not due yet | not due yet |
| Oct 10, 08:00 UTC6 days ago | Whales buying | $526.70-0.4% in that hour | +0.1%usual 0.38% | -0.4%usual 0.75% | +0.5%usual 1.6% |
| Oct 8, 12:00 UTC8 days ago | Whales selling | $548.72-0.9% in that hour | -0.3%usual 0.35% | -3.7%more than its usual 0.70% | -2.2%more than its usual 1.5% |
| Oct 2, 20:00 UTC14 days ago | Whales selling | $539.54+1.0% in that hour | +0.2%usual 0.35% | +0.4%usual 0.68% | +3.5%more than its usual 1.1% |
| Sep 24, 20:00 UTC22 days ago | Whales trading both ways | $567.76+3.6% in that hour | +0.6%more than its usual 0.44% | +0.1%usual 0.78% | -1.4%more than its usual 1.4% |
| Sep 22, 00:00 UTC25 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $584.53Hyperliquid-1.5% in that hour | +0.4%usual 0.52% | -2.8%more than its usual 1.0% | -3.3%more than its usual 2.6% |
| Sep 21, 13:00 UTC25 days ago | Whales buying | $573.91Hyperliquid+0.5% in that hour | +0.4%usual 0.51% | -2.2%more than its usual 0.90% | +0.2%usual 2.5% |
| Sep 21, 07:00 UTC25 days ago | Costly to bet on a riseWhales were buying 5h earlier | $593.65Hyperliquid-3.8% in that hour | -2.4%more than its usual 0.51% | -3.2%more than its usual 0.93% | -3.6%more than its usual 2.6% |
| Sep 21, 02:00 UTC26 days ago | Whales buyingBetting on a rise was costly 5h later | $576.43Hyperliquid+2.6% in that hour | +0.5%more than its usual 0.51% | +7.1%more than its usual 0.89% | +1.2%usual 2.4% |
| Sep 19, 15:00 UTC27 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $570.96-0.7% in that hour | -0.1%usual 0.52% | -3.6%more than its usual 1.0% | -4.8%more than its usual 2.4% |
| Sep 19, 01:00 UTC28 days ago | Costly to bet on a riseWhales were buying 2 min earlier | $582.29 | -0.9%more than its usual 0.57% | -1.5%more than its usual 1.0% | -7.9%more than its usual 2.6% |
| Sep 19, 01:00 UTC28 days ago | Whales buyingBetting on a rise was costly 2 min later | $582.29 | -0.9%more than its usual 0.57% | -1.5%more than its usual 1.0% | -7.9%more than its usual 2.6% |
| Sep 18, 15:00 UTC28 days ago | Costly to bet on a riseWhales were buying 3h earlier | $573.91Hyperliquid+5.8% in that hour | -1.6%more than its usual 0.51% | -2.3%more than its usual 1.0% | -0.5%usual 2.9% |
| Sep 18, 13:00 UTC28 days ago | Whales buyingBetting on a rise was costly 3h later | $539.46Hyperliquid+0.8% in that hour | +0.5%usual 0.52% | +3.8%more than its usual 1.0% | +7.4%more than its usual 2.9% |
| Sep 18, 02:00 UTC29 days ago | Whales buying | $517.89-0.2% in that hour | -0.2%usual 0.60% | +2.2%more than its usual 1.1% | +11.4%more than its usual 2.8% |
| Sep 17, 15:00 UTC29 days ago | Whales buying | $515.98Hyperliquid+1.3% in that hour | -1.1%more than its usual 0.53% | -1.0%more than its usual 1.0% | +11.2%more than its usual 2.9% |
| Sep 14, 09:00 UTC32 days ago | Whales buying | $514.49Hyperliquid-0.5% in that hour | 0.0%usual 0.54% | -0.4%usual 1.0% | +1.0%usual 2.9% |
| Sep 13, 05:00 UTC34 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $532.70Hyperliquid+0.3% in that hour | -0.3%usual 0.54% | +1.0%more than its usual 1.0% | -2.6%usual 2.8% |
| Sep 12, 11:00 UTC34 days ago | Whales selling | $534.49Hyperliquid+1.0% in that hour | -1.0%more than its usual 0.53% | -1.0%more than its usual 1.0% | +0.4%usual 2.7% |
| Sep 11, 04:00 UTC36 days ago | Whales buying | $514.93Hyperliquid+2.6% in that hour | -0.1%usual 0.53% | -0.6%usual 1.0% | +3.4%more than its usual 2.6% |
| Sep 7, 17:00 UTC39 days ago | Whales sellingBetting on a rise was costly 53 min earlier | $514.25Hyperliquid-0.3% in that hour | +0.8%more than its usual 0.57% | +0.5%usual 1.1% | -2.3%more than its usual 2.3% |
| Sep 7, 16:00 UTC39 days ago | Costly to bet on a riseWhales were selling 53 min later | $515.72Hyperliquid-2.9% in that hour | -0.3%usual 0.57% | +0.6%usual 1.1% | -2.4%more than its usual 2.3% |
| Sep 7, 03:00 UTC40 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $533.48Hyperliquid0.0% in that hour | +0.3%usual 0.59% | +1.2%more than its usual 1.2% | -4.4%more than its usual 2.3% |
| Sep 6, 13:00 UTC40 days ago | Whales selling | $530.52Hyperliquid-1.8% in that hour | -0.2%usual 0.59% | -0.1%usual 1.2% | +1.4%usual 2.4% |
| Sep 6, 04:00 UTC41 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $558.52Hyperliquid+0.1% in that hour | -1.0%more than its usual 0.60% | -2.5%more than its usual 1.2% | -4.2%more than its usual 2.4% |
| Sep 5, 17:00 UTC41 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $545.82Hyperliquid+0.8% in that hour | -0.6%more than its usual 0.61% | +1.2%more than its usual 1.2% | -2.9%more than its usual 2.4% |
| Sep 5, 06:00 UTC42 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $533.10Hyperliquid+0.7% in that hour | -0.4%usual 0.60% | +0.9%usual 1.2% | +3.5%more than its usual 2.6% |
| Sep 4, 21:00 UTC42 days ago | Whales selling | $516.05Hyperliquid-4.0% in that hour | +0.5%usual 0.58% | +2.6%more than its usual 1.1% | +7.0%more than its usual 2.5% |
| Sep 4, 10:00 UTC42 days ago | Whales buyingBetting on a rise was costly 16 min earlier | $551.03Hyperliquid-2.7% in that hour | -0.6%more than its usual 0.59% | -5.4%more than its usual 1.1% | -2.4%more than its usual 2.4% |
| Sep 4, 10:00 UTC42 days ago | Costly to bet on a riseWhales were buying 16 min later | $551.03Hyperliquid-2.7% in that hour | -0.6%more than its usual 0.60% | -5.4%more than its usual 1.2% | -2.4%more than its usual 2.3% |
| Sep 3, 20:00 UTC43 days ago | Whales buying | $523.81Hyperliquid-0.7% in that hour | -0.1%usual 0.58% | -1.3%more than its usual 1.1% | +2.7%more than its usual 2.3% |
| Sep 2, 19:00 UTC44 days ago | Whales sellingBetting on a rise was costly 3h earlier | $512.64Hyperliquid-3.2% in that hour | -0.9%more than its usual 0.57% | -3.6%more than its usual 1.2% | +2.9%more than its usual 2.4% |
| Sep 2, 17:00 UTC44 days ago | Costly to bet on a riseWhales were selling 3h later | $523.20Hyperliquid+1.2% in that hour | +1.2%more than its usual 0.59% | -4.5%more than its usual 1.2% | +0.3%usual 2.4% |
| Sep 2, 08:00 UTC44 days ago | Whales selling | $517.93Hyperliquid-0.2% in that hour | +0.5%usual 0.56% | -2.0%more than its usual 1.2% | -0.3%usual 2.7% |
| Aug 31, 12:00 UTC46 days ago | Whales buyingBetting on a rise was costly 2h earlier | $517.83Hyperliquid-4.0% in that hour | -1.6%more than its usual 0.56% | 0.0%usual 1.2% | -0.3%usual 2.3% |
| Aug 31, 10:00 UTC46 days ago | Costly to bet on a riseWhales were buying 2h later | $538.63Hyperliquid0.0% in that hour | +0.1%usual 0.58% | -4.3%more than its usual 1.2% | -1.7%usual 2.3% |
| Aug 30, 16:00 UTC47 days ago | Costly to bet on a riseWhales were buying 3h earlier | $502.33Hyperliquid-1.5% in that hour | -0.7%more than its usual 0.58% | -0.7%usual 1.2% | +3.1%more than its usual 2.3% |
| Aug 30, 12:00 UTC47 days ago | Whales buyingBetting on a rise was costly 3h later | $486.84Hyperliquid+1.6% in that hour | +4.4%more than its usual 0.57% | +3.2%more than its usual 1.1% | +6.4%more than its usual 2.3% |
| Aug 30, 00:00 UTC48 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $473.90Hyperliquid+0.4% in that hour | 0.0%usual 0.63% | -0.8%usual 1.2% | +3.7%more than its usual 2.3% |
| Aug 29, 16:00 UTC48 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $465.23Hyperliquid-0.3% in that hour | -0.2%usual 0.63% | +0.4%usual 1.2% | +8.0%more than its usual 2.3% |
| Aug 29, 00:00 UTC49 days ago | Whales selling | $471.03Hyperliquid-0.3% in that hour | 0.0%usual 0.58% | -0.4%usual 1.2% | +0.6%usual 2.1% |
| Aug 28, 09:00 UTC49 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $470.24Hyperliquid-0.5% in that hour | +0.3%usual 0.59% | 0.0%usual 1.2% | -0.6%usual 2.1% |
| Aug 27, 14:00 UTC50 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $460.55Hyperliquid+0.6% in that hour | +1.2%more than its usual 0.59% | +2.4%more than its usual 1.2% | +3.0%more than its usual 2.2% |
| Aug 22, 01:00 UTC56 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $410.60Hyperliquid+0.6% in that hour | +10.2%more than its usual 0.44% | +6.7%more than its usual 0.94% | +6.7%more than its usual 1.3% |
| Aug 21, 11:00 UTC56 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $415.31Hyperliquid+0.1% in that hour | 0.0%usual 0.44% | -0.7%usual 0.93% | +3.0%more than its usual 1.4% |
| Aug 15, 06:00 UTC63 days ago | Whales buying | $407.73Hyperliquid+0.7% in that hour | -0.3%usual 0.40% | -0.4%usual 0.74% | +0.9%usual 1.3% |
| Aug 13, 20:00 UTC64 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $397.13Hyperliquid+0.3% in that hour | -0.2%usual 0.37% | -0.2%usual 0.65% | 0.0%usual 1.2% |
| Aug 12, 09:00 UTC65 days ago | Whales selling | $400.20Hyperliquid+0.6% in that hour | -1.0%more than its usual 0.34% | -1.0%more than its usual 0.62% | +2.0%more than its usual 1.3% |
| Aug 11, 17:00 UTC66 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $388.54Hyperliquid-1.0% in that hour | -0.3%usual 0.35% | -1.5%more than its usual 0.63% | +2.3%more than its usual 1.4% |
| Aug 9, 21:00 UTC68 days ago | Costly to bet on a riseWhales were selling 1h earlier | $393.00Hyperliquid-1.6% in that hour | +0.4%more than its usual 0.33% | +1.5%more than its usual 0.58% | +0.4%usual 1.6% |
| Aug 9, 20:00 UTC68 days ago | Whales sellingBetting on a rise was costly 1h later | $399.30Hyperliquid+0.5% in that hour | -1.6%more than its usual 0.33% | -0.5%usual 0.58% | -1.3%usual 1.6% |
| Aug 4, 05:00 UTC74 days ago | Whales buying | $363.44Hyperliquid+0.3% in that hour | -0.1%usual 0.29% | +0.2%usual 0.57% | -2.1%more than its usual 1.7% |
| Jul 31, 20:00 UTC77 days ago | Whales sellingBetting on a fall was costly 4h earlier | $355.64Hyperliquid+0.8% in that hour | -0.1%usual 0.29% | +1.2%more than its usual 0.53% | +1.9%usual 1.9% |
| Jul 31, 16:00 UTC77 days ago | Costly to bet on a fallWhales were selling 4h later | $358.29Hyperliquid+1.6% in that hour | -1.0%more than its usual 0.29% | -0.7%more than its usual 0.52% | +0.9%usual 1.9% |
| Jul 30, 19:00 UTC78 days ago | Whales buying | $362.65Hyperliquid+0.5% in that hour | +0.7%more than its usual 0.29% | -0.7%more than its usual 0.56% | -2.7%more than its usual 1.9% |
| Jul 19, 18:00 UTC89 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $332.09Hyperliquid-0.3% in that hour | +0.6%more than its usual 0.29% | +1.2%more than its usual 0.62% | +1.3%usual 1.6% |
| Jul 19, 07:00 UTC89 days ago | Whales buying | $339.55Hyperliquid+0.3% in that hour | 0.0%usual 0.28% | -0.7%more than its usual 0.59% | -1.7%more than its usual 1.5% |
How far above normal each time ran, and its buy and sell split, come with a paid plan. Start free, no card New accounts get 7 days of Pro. No card, nothing to cancel.
Not financial advice. A past move does not tell you the next one.
How this is counted
A time starts when whales trade far more XMR in one hour than is normal for it, after at least six quiet hours. We note the price at the end of that hour, then one hour, four hours and one day later. Within half a percent either way is about flat.
Prices are our own hourly prices across exchanges where we hold them. For an hour we do not hold, they are Hyperliquid's hourly prices, and that time is then counted on Hyperliquid's prices from start to finish, never a mix: 48 of the 57 times here, each marked in the table.
Bets closed by force: within one minute, bets on one side were force-closed on at least three exchanges. A bet turned costly to hold: the fee to keep a bet open, averaged across exchanges, went past 0.05% for bets on a rise or 0.03% for bets on a fall. Each is compared only with earlier times of its own kind on the same side.
In that hour, under the price, is the move from the end of the hour before to the end of the hour it began in. It is the hour it happened, not what came after.
The usual move is the middle move of XMR's ordinary hours over the same stretch: half of them moved less, half more. Moved more than usual means further than that, up or down.
Ordinary is XMR's other hours within seven days either side of each time, counted the same way on the same prices, with every hour inside an unusual time left out. A time with fewer than 72 such hours around it has no ordinary.
No price means neither has a price for that moment. It is left out of the counts and never treated as a move.
