Radar / XMR
XMR: every time whale trading went unusual
47 times in the last 84 days that whales traded far more XMR in one hour than is normal for it. Also listed: 32 times a bet turned costly to hold.
Whales trading both ways, began 19 hours ago. The price is +1.6% since it began at $598.69.
The case both ways
Facts with their sources, and what followed the last times of each kind. Neither side is weighed.
Points up
- Coinpaper reported that XMR rose more than 3% on November 3, 2026, near $625, while Bitcoin fell below $77,000.coinpaper · 3 Nov
- Kraken's co-CEO withdrew the questionnaires it had sent to Monero customers on October 24, 2026, and said no rule required them.thecoinrepublic · 24 Oct
- Monero's use reportedly remains above pre-2022 levels despite exchange delistings, according to TRM Labs, as reported by Coinbird.coinbird
- XMR around the last 11 PCE inflation reports: higher 7 times, lower 3 a day later, a typical move of +0.9% and +2.2% over the week.our own prices
Points down
- The EU's Anti-Money Laundering Regulation introduces further restrictions on privacy coins from July 10, 2027.thecoinrepublic
- Binance removed Monero from its exchange in February 2024, and a study found the delisting was followed by a significant negative effect on Monero's trading price.aisel.aisnet · 1 Feb 2024
- Kraken removed Monero from trading in Canada and India in April 2026, according to a Godex blog post.godex
- XMR around the last 7 Fed decisions: higher 2 times, lower 4 a day later, a typical move of -0.8% and +5.7% over the week.our own prices
Dated ahead
- PCE inflation report (October 2026) 7 up · 3 down · +0.9%
- Fed rate decision and projections 2 up · 4 down · -0.8%
- PCE inflation report (November 2026) 7 up · 3 down · +0.9%
- PCE inflation report (December 2026) 7 up · 3 down · +0.9%
(Smart Contract Platform, Privacy Coins, Layer 1 (L1))
XMR price, with each time marked
Hourly, Oct 7 to Nov 8. A break in the line is an hour with no price.
$650.91
$515.46
whales buying far more than normalwhales selling far more than normalforced closes or a costly fee
Where the price was a day later
After whales bought, 20 times
13 up4 about flat3 down
Ordinary hours around those times: 46% up · 13% about flat · 41% down
Moved more than usual: 17 of 20 in the hour itself · 12 of 20 an hour later · 12 of 20 4 hours later · 10 of 20 a day later
After whales sold, 22 times
14 up2 about flat6 down
Ordinary hours around those times: 49% up · 14% about flat · 37% down
Moved more than usual: 18 of 22 in the hour itself · 11 of 22 an hour later · 12 of 22 4 hours later · 12 of 22 a day later
After whales traded both ways, 5 times
1 up3 down1 not due yet
Ordinary hours around those times: 47% up · 14% about flat · 39% down
Moved more than usual: 4 of 5 in the hour itself · 3 of 5 an hour later · 1 of 5 4 hours later · 2 of 4 a day later
After betting on a rise turned costly, 32 times
9 up6 about flat17 down
Ordinary hours around those times: 48% up · 15% about flat · 37% down
Moved more than usual: 19 of 32 in the hour itself · 14 of 32 an hour later · 17 of 32 4 hours later · 21 of 32 a day later
Every time, newest first
Times are UTC. Under each move: XMR's usual move over the same stretch around then.
| When | What | Price then | 1 hour later | 4 hours later | 1 day later |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 22:00 UTC19 hours ago | Whales trading both waysnow | $599.68+0.2% in that hour | +0.3%more than its usual 0.27% | -0.4%usual 0.61% | not due yet |
| Nov 7, 10:00 UTC31 hours ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $614.73+0.1% in that hour | -0.2%usual 0.28% | 0.0%usual 0.62% | -2.1%more than its usual 1.6% |
| Nov 7, 00:00 UTC2 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $611.160.0% in that hour | 0.0%usual 0.29% | +0.1%usual 0.59% | -1.6%usual 1.7% |
| Nov 5, 22:00 UTC3 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $617.28+0.3% in that hour | -0.1%usual 0.33% | +0.5%usual 0.62% | 0.0%usual 1.6% |
| Nov 5, 00:00 UTC4 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $641.39+0.6% in that hour | -0.8%more than its usual 0.34% | +0.2%usual 0.63% | -2.8%more than its usual 1.6% |
| Nov 4, 07:00 UTC4 days ago | Whales buying | $638.41-0.7% in that hour | +0.9%more than its usual 0.33% | +0.6%usual 0.59% | -0.3%usual 1.6% |
| Nov 3, 19:00 UTC5 days ago | Whales selling | $630.10+0.4% in that hour | +0.1%usual 0.33% | +0.4%usual 0.60% | +0.9%usual 1.6% |
| Nov 3, 11:00 UTC5 days ago | Whales buying | $627.86+0.6% in that hour | -0.6%more than its usual 0.34% | -1.3%more than its usual 0.62% | +2.2%more than its usual 1.6% |
| Nov 1, 05:00 UTC8 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $605.67+0.2% in that hour | -0.2%usual 0.35% | 0.0%usual 0.63% | +0.2%usual 1.6% |
| Oct 31, 14:00 UTC8 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $599.99+1.0% in that hour | -1.1%more than its usual 0.37% | -0.9%more than its usual 0.65% | +0.4%usual 1.6% |
| Oct 31, 00:00 UTC9 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $596.93+1.6% in that hour | -0.1%usual 0.39% | -0.7%usual 0.71% | +1.7%more than its usual 1.7% |
| Oct 30, 08:00 UTC9 days ago | Whales sellingBetting on a rise was costly 3h earlier | $597.39+2.2% in that hour | -0.8%more than its usual 0.39% | -1.8%more than its usual 0.70% | -0.7%usual 1.8% |
| Oct 30, 04:00 UTC10 days ago | Costly to bet on a riseWhales were selling 3h later | $598.43-1.6% in that hour | -1.2%more than its usual 0.42% | -0.2%usual 0.72% | -0.9%usual 1.8% |
| Oct 29, 16:00 UTC10 days ago | Whales selling | $616.65+2.1% in that hour | -1.8%more than its usual 0.42% | +1.0%more than its usual 0.71% | -3.6%more than its usual 1.9% |
| Oct 29, 03:00 UTC11 days ago | Whales selling | $583.94-1.5% in that hour | +0.9%more than its usual 0.43% | +1.5%more than its usual 0.72% | +4.1%more than its usual 1.8% |
| Oct 26, 19:00 UTC13 days ago | Whales selling | $597.75+0.7% in that hour | -0.8%more than its usual 0.42% | +0.3%usual 0.83% | +0.8%usual 1.9% |
| Oct 26, 06:00 UTC13 days ago | Whales selling | $583.30-0.8% in that hour | +0.3%usual 0.42% | +1.0%more than its usual 0.84% | +2.1%more than its usual 1.8% |
| Oct 25, 20:00 UTC14 days ago | Whales trading both ways | $601.50+1.2% in that hour | -0.2%usual 0.42% | -1.1%more than its usual 0.83% | -1.4%usual 1.9% |
| Oct 25, 06:00 UTC14 days ago | Whales trading both ways | $602.77-1.5% in that hour | +0.8%more than its usual 0.43% | 0.0%usual 0.82% | -3.2%more than its usual 1.9% |
| Oct 24, 16:00 UTC15 days ago | Whales buying | $606.87+2.0% in that hour | -0.9%more than its usual 0.45% | +0.4%usual 0.91% | -0.5%usual 2.1% |
| Oct 23, 17:00 UTC16 days ago | Whales selling | $595.20-1.1% in that hour | +0.1%usual 0.44% | -0.9%usual 1.0% | +1.0%usual 2.3% |
| Oct 22, 20:00 UTC17 days ago | Whales buying | $597.81-2.0% in that hour | -0.6%more than its usual 0.45% | +0.4%usual 1.0% | -1.1%usual 2.2% |
| Oct 22, 11:00 UTC17 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $633.66-1.7% in that hour | -0.7%more than its usual 0.46% | -2.8%more than its usual 1.1% | -3.8%more than its usual 2.2% |
| Oct 22, 05:00 UTC17 days ago | Whales selling | $649.98+5.9% in that hour | -0.3%usual 0.45% | +0.1%usual 1.0% | -5.7%more than its usual 2.3% |
| Oct 21, 14:00 UTC18 days ago | Whales selling | $602.93-0.5% in that hour | -1.2%more than its usual 0.46% | +0.7%usual 1.0% | +2.9%more than its usual 2.3% |
| Oct 20, 22:00 UTC19 days ago | Whales buying | $610.01-2.1% in that hour | -1.3%more than its usual 0.46% | -5.6%more than its usual 1.0% | +2.2%usual 2.3% |
| Oct 20, 10:00 UTC19 days ago | Whales selling | $610.77-0.7% in that hour | -0.5%more than its usual 0.46% | +1.3%more than its usual 0.95% | -2.1%usual 2.4% |
| Oct 19, 15:00 UTC20 days ago | Whales selling | $594.52-1.6% in that hour | +0.5%more than its usual 0.48% | -0.1%usual 1.0% | +4.4%more than its usual 2.5% |
| Oct 18, 14:00 UTC21 days ago | Whales trading both ways | $588.22-0.5% in that hour | -0.7%more than its usual 0.46% | +0.5%usual 0.93% | +2.7%more than its usual 2.4% |
| Oct 18, 00:00 UTC22 days ago | Whales buying | $580.65+1.8% in that hour | +1.7%more than its usual 0.45% | +2.8%more than its usual 0.89% | +3.6%more than its usual 2.2% |
| Oct 16, 17:00 UTC23 days ago | Whales selling | $552.23+0.2% in that hour | -0.1%usual 0.45% | +1.3%more than its usual 0.86% | +1.4%usual 2.0% |
| Oct 10, 08:00 UTC29 days ago | Whales buying | $526.70-0.4% in that hour | +0.1%usual 0.44% | -0.4%usual 0.81% | +0.5%usual 1.8% |
| Oct 8, 12:00 UTC31 days ago | Whales selling | $548.72-0.9% in that hour | -0.3%usual 0.44% | -3.7%more than its usual 0.80% | -2.2%more than its usual 1.8% |
| Oct 2, 20:00 UTC37 days ago | Whales selling | $541.02Hyperliquid+1.2% in that hour | -0.1%usual 0.33% | +0.1%usual 0.67% | +3.4%more than its usual 1.2% |
| Sep 24, 20:00 UTC45 days ago | Whales trading both ways | $568.98Hyperliquid+3.6% in that hour | +0.5%usual 0.51% | -0.2%usual 0.82% | -1.6%usual 1.7% |
| Sep 22, 00:00 UTC48 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $584.53Hyperliquid-1.5% in that hour | +0.4%usual 0.52% | -2.8%more than its usual 1.0% | -3.3%more than its usual 2.6% |
| Sep 21, 13:00 UTC48 days ago | Whales buying | $573.91Hyperliquid+0.5% in that hour | +0.4%usual 0.51% | -2.2%more than its usual 0.90% | +0.2%usual 2.5% |
| Sep 21, 07:00 UTC48 days ago | Costly to bet on a riseWhales were buying 5h earlier | $593.65Hyperliquid-3.8% in that hour | -2.4%more than its usual 0.51% | -3.2%more than its usual 0.93% | -3.6%more than its usual 2.6% |
| Sep 21, 02:00 UTC49 days ago | Whales buyingBetting on a rise was costly 5h later | $576.43Hyperliquid+2.6% in that hour | +0.5%more than its usual 0.51% | +7.1%more than its usual 0.89% | +1.2%usual 2.4% |
| Sep 19, 15:00 UTC50 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $571.10Hyperliquid-0.9% in that hour | 0.0%usual 0.51% | -3.6%more than its usual 0.95% | -4.6%more than its usual 2.8% |
| Sep 19, 01:00 UTC51 days ago | Costly to bet on a riseWhales were buying 2 min earlier | $582.52Hyperliquid+1.4% in that hour | -0.7%more than its usual 0.51% | -1.3%more than its usual 1.0% | -7.6%more than its usual 2.8% |
| Sep 19, 01:00 UTC51 days ago | Whales buyingBetting on a rise was costly 2 min later | $582.52Hyperliquid+1.4% in that hour | -0.7%more than its usual 0.51% | -1.3%more than its usual 1.0% | -7.6%more than its usual 2.7% |
| Sep 18, 15:00 UTC51 days ago | Costly to bet on a riseWhales were buying 3h earlier | $573.91Hyperliquid+5.8% in that hour | -1.6%more than its usual 0.51% | -2.3%more than its usual 1.0% | -0.5%usual 2.9% |
| Sep 18, 13:00 UTC51 days ago | Whales buyingBetting on a rise was costly 3h later | $539.46Hyperliquid+0.8% in that hour | +0.5%usual 0.52% | +3.8%more than its usual 1.0% | +7.4%more than its usual 2.9% |
| Sep 18, 02:00 UTC52 days ago | Whales buying | $518.94Hyperliquid-0.3% in that hour | -0.2%usual 0.53% | +2.3%more than its usual 1.0% | +11.5%more than its usual 2.9% |
| Sep 17, 15:00 UTC52 days ago | Whales buying | $515.98Hyperliquid+1.3% in that hour | -1.1%more than its usual 0.53% | -1.0%more than its usual 1.0% | +11.2%more than its usual 2.9% |
| Sep 14, 09:00 UTC55 days ago | Whales buying | $514.49Hyperliquid-0.5% in that hour | 0.0%usual 0.54% | -0.4%usual 1.0% | +1.0%usual 2.9% |
| Sep 13, 05:00 UTC56 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $532.70Hyperliquid+0.3% in that hour | -0.3%usual 0.54% | +1.0%more than its usual 1.0% | -2.6%usual 2.8% |
| Sep 12, 11:00 UTC57 days ago | Whales selling | $534.49Hyperliquid+1.0% in that hour | -1.0%more than its usual 0.53% | -1.0%more than its usual 1.0% | +0.4%usual 2.7% |
| Sep 11, 04:00 UTC59 days ago | Whales buying | $514.93Hyperliquid+2.6% in that hour | -0.1%usual 0.53% | -0.6%usual 1.0% | +3.4%more than its usual 2.6% |
| Sep 7, 17:00 UTC62 days ago | Whales sellingBetting on a rise was costly 53 min earlier | $514.25Hyperliquid-0.3% in that hour | +0.8%more than its usual 0.57% | +0.5%usual 1.1% | -2.3%more than its usual 2.3% |
| Sep 7, 16:00 UTC62 days ago | Costly to bet on a riseWhales were selling 53 min later | $515.72Hyperliquid-2.9% in that hour | -0.3%usual 0.57% | +0.6%usual 1.1% | -2.4%more than its usual 2.3% |
| Sep 7, 03:00 UTC63 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $533.48Hyperliquid0.0% in that hour | +0.3%usual 0.59% | +1.2%more than its usual 1.2% | -4.4%more than its usual 2.3% |
| Sep 6, 13:00 UTC63 days ago | Whales selling | $530.52Hyperliquid-1.8% in that hour | -0.2%usual 0.59% | -0.1%usual 1.2% | +1.4%usual 2.4% |
| Sep 6, 04:00 UTC64 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $558.52Hyperliquid+0.1% in that hour | -1.0%more than its usual 0.60% | -2.5%more than its usual 1.2% | -4.2%more than its usual 2.4% |
| Sep 5, 17:00 UTC64 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $545.82Hyperliquid+0.8% in that hour | -0.6%more than its usual 0.61% | +1.2%more than its usual 1.2% | -2.9%more than its usual 2.4% |
| Sep 5, 06:00 UTC64 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $533.10Hyperliquid+0.7% in that hour | -0.4%usual 0.60% | +0.9%usual 1.2% | +3.5%more than its usual 2.6% |
| Sep 4, 21:00 UTC65 days ago | Whales selling | $516.05Hyperliquid-4.0% in that hour | +0.5%usual 0.58% | +2.6%more than its usual 1.1% | +7.0%more than its usual 2.5% |
| Sep 4, 10:00 UTC65 days ago | Whales buyingBetting on a rise was costly 16 min earlier | $551.03Hyperliquid-2.7% in that hour | -0.6%more than its usual 0.59% | -5.4%more than its usual 1.1% | -2.4%more than its usual 2.4% |
| Sep 4, 10:00 UTC65 days ago | Costly to bet on a riseWhales were buying 16 min later | $551.03Hyperliquid-2.7% in that hour | -0.6%more than its usual 0.60% | -5.4%more than its usual 1.2% | -2.4%more than its usual 2.3% |
| Sep 3, 20:00 UTC66 days ago | Whales buying | $523.81Hyperliquid-0.7% in that hour | -0.1%usual 0.58% | -1.3%more than its usual 1.1% | +2.7%more than its usual 2.3% |
| Sep 2, 19:00 UTC67 days ago | Whales sellingBetting on a rise was costly 3h earlier | $512.64Hyperliquid-3.2% in that hour | -0.9%more than its usual 0.57% | -3.6%more than its usual 1.2% | +2.9%more than its usual 2.4% |
| Sep 2, 17:00 UTC67 days ago | Costly to bet on a riseWhales were selling 3h later | $523.20Hyperliquid+1.2% in that hour | +1.2%more than its usual 0.59% | -4.5%more than its usual 1.2% | +0.3%usual 2.4% |
| Sep 2, 08:00 UTC67 days ago | Whales selling | $517.93Hyperliquid-0.2% in that hour | +0.5%usual 0.56% | -2.0%more than its usual 1.2% | -0.3%usual 2.7% |
| Aug 31, 12:00 UTC69 days ago | Whales buyingBetting on a rise was costly 2h earlier | $517.83Hyperliquid-4.0% in that hour | -1.6%more than its usual 0.56% | 0.0%usual 1.2% | -0.3%usual 2.3% |
| Aug 31, 10:00 UTC69 days ago | Costly to bet on a riseWhales were buying 2h later | $538.63Hyperliquid0.0% in that hour | +0.1%usual 0.58% | -4.3%more than its usual 1.2% | -1.7%usual 2.3% |
| Aug 30, 16:00 UTC70 days ago | Costly to bet on a riseWhales were buying 3h earlier | $502.33Hyperliquid-1.5% in that hour | -0.7%more than its usual 0.58% | -0.7%usual 1.2% | +3.1%more than its usual 2.3% |
| Aug 30, 12:00 UTC70 days ago | Whales buyingBetting on a rise was costly 3h later | $486.84Hyperliquid+1.6% in that hour | +4.4%more than its usual 0.57% | +3.2%more than its usual 1.1% | +6.4%more than its usual 2.3% |
| Aug 30, 00:00 UTC71 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $473.90Hyperliquid+0.4% in that hour | 0.0%usual 0.63% | -0.8%usual 1.2% | +3.7%more than its usual 2.3% |
| Aug 29, 16:00 UTC71 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $465.23Hyperliquid-0.3% in that hour | -0.2%usual 0.63% | +0.4%usual 1.2% | +8.0%more than its usual 2.3% |
| Aug 29, 00:00 UTC72 days ago | Whales selling | $471.03Hyperliquid-0.3% in that hour | 0.0%usual 0.58% | -0.4%usual 1.2% | +0.6%usual 2.1% |
| Aug 28, 09:00 UTC72 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $470.24Hyperliquid-0.5% in that hour | +0.3%usual 0.59% | 0.0%usual 1.2% | -0.6%usual 2.1% |
| Aug 27, 14:00 UTC73 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $460.55Hyperliquid+0.6% in that hour | +1.2%more than its usual 0.59% | +2.4%more than its usual 1.2% | +3.0%more than its usual 2.2% |
| Aug 22, 01:00 UTC79 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $410.60Hyperliquid+0.6% in that hour | +10.2%more than its usual 0.44% | +6.7%more than its usual 0.94% | +6.7%more than its usual 1.3% |
| Aug 21, 11:00 UTC79 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $415.31Hyperliquid+0.1% in that hour | 0.0%usual 0.44% | -0.7%usual 0.93% | +3.0%more than its usual 1.4% |
| Aug 15, 06:00 UTC85 days ago | Whales buying | $407.73Hyperliquid+0.7% in that hour | -0.3%usual 0.40% | -0.4%usual 0.74% | +0.9%usual 1.3% |
| Aug 13, 20:00 UTC87 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $397.13Hyperliquid+0.3% in that hour | -0.2%usual 0.38% | -0.2%usual 0.65% | 0.0%usual 1.2% |
| Aug 12, 09:00 UTC88 days ago | Whales selling | $400.20Hyperliquid+0.6% in that hour | -1.0%more than its usual 0.34% | -1.0%more than its usual 0.61% | +2.0%more than its usual 1.3% |
| Aug 11, 17:00 UTC89 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $388.54Hyperliquid-1.0% in that hour | -0.3%usual 0.35% | -1.5%more than its usual 0.63% | +2.3%more than its usual 1.4% |
How far above normal each time ran, and its buy and sell split, come with a paid plan. Start free, no card New accounts get 7 days of Pro. No card, nothing to cancel.
Not financial advice. A past move does not tell you the next one.
How this is counted
A time starts when whales trade far more XMR in one hour than is normal for it, after at least six quiet hours. We note the price at the end of that hour, then one hour, four hours and one day later. Within half a percent either way is about flat.
Prices are our own hourly prices across exchanges where we hold them. For an hour we do not hold, they are Hyperliquid's hourly prices, and that time is then counted on Hyperliquid's prices from start to finish, never a mix: 46 of the 79 times here, each marked in the table.
Bets closed by force: within one minute, bets on one side were force-closed on at least three exchanges. A bet turned costly to hold: the fee to keep a bet open, averaged across exchanges, went past 0.05% for bets on a rise or 0.03% for bets on a fall. Each is compared only with earlier times of its own kind on the same side.
In that hour, under the price, is the move from the end of the hour before to the end of the hour it began in. It is the hour it happened, not what came after.
The usual move is the middle move of XMR's ordinary hours over the same stretch: half of them moved less, half more. Moved more than usual means further than that, up or down.
Ordinary is XMR's other hours within seven days either side of each time, counted the same way on the same prices, with every hour inside an unusual time left out. A time with fewer than 72 such hours around it has no ordinary.
No price means neither has a price for that moment. It is left out of the counts and never treated as a move.
