Radar / APT
APT: every time whale trading went unusual
28 times in the last 59 days that whales traded far more APT in one hour than is normal for it. Also listed: 5 times bets were closed by force, 1 time a bet turned costly to hold.
Whales selling, began 1 hour ago.
The case both ways
Facts with their sources, and what followed the last times of each kind. Neither side is weighed.
Points up
- Bullish named Aptos, along with Solana and Ethereum, as an initial network for its tokenized equity services on November 3, 2026.cryptobriefing · 3 Nov
- The four-year token unlock schedule for Aptos core contributors and early investors finished, and monthly APT issuance fell by about 60%.everstake · 12 Oct
- Governance proposal AIP-183 set a hard cap of 2.1 billion APT on total token issuance, replacing the earlier uncapped inflation model.x · 28 Mar
- Governance proposal AIP-184 cut the staking reward rate from 5.19% to 2.6%.x · 28 Mar
Points down
- Whales mostly sold APT in the unusual time that began 1 hour ago.
- The stablecoin market value on Aptos was about $773 million in early November 2026, down from a peak of about $1.49 billion in October 2025.cryptobriefing
- APT around the last 21 PCE inflation reports: higher 6 times, lower 12 a day later, a typical move of -1.4% and -3.5% over the week.our own prices
Dated ahead
- US October producer price index (BLS)
- FOMC minutes release
- PCE inflation report (October 2026) 6 up · 12 down · -1.4%
- Fed rate decision and projections 14 up · 19 down · -1.3%
The last times
- The last 12 times whales sold it like this: higher 5 times, lower 5 a day later.
- APT around the last 33 Fed decisions: higher 14 times, lower 19 a day later, a typical move of -1.3% and -4.7% over the week.our own prices
Aptos is a new, independent high-performance PoS Layer 1 project focused on delivering the safest and most scalable Layer 1 blockchain in the world. (Smart Contract Platform, Layer 1 (L1), Aptos Ecosystem)
APT price, with each time marked
Hourly, Oct 12 to Nov 13. A break in the line is an hour with no price.
whales buying far more than normalwhales selling far more than normalforced closes or a costly fee
Where the price was a day later
Every time, newest first
Times are UTC. Under each move: APT's usual move over the same stretch around then.
| When | What | Price then | 1 hour later | 4 hours later | 1 day later |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 04:00 UTC1 hour ago | Whales sellingnow | $0.5271-1.2% in that hour | not due yet | not due yet | not due yet |
| Oct 29, 00:00 UTC15 days ago | Costly to bet on a fall | $0.6941-0.8% in that hour | -1.5%more than its usual 0.46% | -4.4%more than its usual 0.89% | -13.3%more than its usual 1.9% |
| Oct 20, 21:00 UTC23 days ago | Whales selling | $0.8278-1.2% in that hour | -0.4%usual 0.51% | +0.1%usual 1.0% | -0.4%usual 2.7% |
| Oct 20, 14:00 UTC24 days ago | Whales trading both ways | $0.8204+4.1% in that hour | -2.9%more than its usual 0.51% | +1.1%more than its usual 1.0% | +1.6%usual 2.8% |
| Oct 17, 18:00 UTC26 days ago | Whales selling | $0.8088+1.4% in that hour | +0.7%more than its usual 0.54% | -1.8%more than its usual 1.2% | -5.2%more than its usual 3.5% |
| Oct 15, 15:00 UTC29 days ago | Whales buying | $0.8254+2.1% in that hour | -1.7%more than its usual 0.58% | +0.4%usual 1.2% | +3.8%more than its usual 3.5% |
| Oct 13, 11:00 UTC31 days ago | Whales selling | $0.8198-0.9% in that hour | +0.2%usual 0.58% | +0.1%usual 1.2% | +0.6%usual 3.5% |
| Oct 12, 23:00 UTC31 days ago | Whales selling | $0.7942-1.7% in that hour | -2.8%more than its usual 0.58% | +3.3%more than its usual 1.2% | +5.3%more than its usual 3.2% |
| Oct 11, 14:00 UTC33 days ago | Whales buying | $0.9218Hyperliquid+6.5% in that hour | +2.2%more than its usual 0.67% | -1.0%usual 1.4% | -7.9%more than its usual 3.9% |
| Oct 9, 09:00 UTC35 days ago | Whales selling | $0.821Hyperliquid0.0% in that hour | -0.4%usual 0.65% | -2.8%more than its usual 1.3% | -0.8%usual 3.4% |
| Oct 8, 17:00 UTC36 days ago | Whales trading both ways | $0.6974Hyperliquid-1.7% in that hour | +5.2%more than its usual 0.65% | +5.9%more than its usual 1.3% | +15.8%more than its usual 3.5% |
| Oct 7, 15:00 UTC37 days ago | Whales buying | $0.7524Hyperliquid+0.6% in that hour | -0.3%usual 0.64% | -0.5%usual 1.3% | -5.5%more than its usual 3.4% |
| Oct 6, 15:00 UTC38 days ago | Whales buying | $0.8278Hyperliquid-1.6% in that hour | -0.5%usual 0.63% | +1.3%more than its usual 1.3% | -9.1%more than its usual 3.1% |
| Oct 4, 14:00 UTC40 days ago | Whales buying | $0.8071Hyperliquid+1.4% in that hour | +0.5%usual 0.68% | -0.3%usual 1.3% | -0.5%usual 3.0% |
| Sep 30, 19:00 UTC43 days ago | Whales trading both ways | $0.7711Hyperliquid-1.1% in that hour | -0.4%usual 0.62% | -0.1%usual 1.2% | +0.2%usual 2.4% |
| Sep 28, 21:00 UTC45 days ago | Whales selling | $0.8052Hyperliquid-2.6% in that hour | +1.7%more than its usual 0.66% | +1.0%usual 1.3% | -1.4%usual 2.7% |
| Sep 26, 20:00 UTC47 days ago | Whales selling | $0.8326Hyperliquid-2.2% in that hour | +1.1%more than its usual 0.69% | +1.4%more than its usual 1.3% | +2.9%usual 3.1% |
| Sep 25, 20:00 UTC48 days ago | Whales sellingBets on a fall were force-closed 3 min earlier | $0.8652Hyperliquid+0.2% in that hour | -1.9%more than its usual 0.71% | -0.5%usual 1.4% | -3.8%more than its usual 3.4% |
| Sep 25, 20:00 UTC48 days ago | Bets on a fall force-closedWhales were selling 3 min later | $0.8652Hyperliquid+0.2% in that hour | -1.9%more than its usual 0.75% | -0.5%usual 1.4% | -3.8%more than its usual 3.3% |
| Sep 25, 12:00 UTC49 days ago | Whales buying | $0.8467Hyperliquid+0.6% in that hour | -0.6%usual 0.70% | -1.4%more than its usual 1.4% | +0.6%usual 3.5% |
| Sep 24, 08:00 UTC50 days ago | Whales selling | $0.7586Hyperliquid-1.5% in that hour | -1.6%more than its usual 0.71% | +2.1%more than its usual 1.4% | +8.9%more than its usual 3.8% |
| Sep 23, 14:00 UTC51 days ago | Whales selling | $0.7765Hyperliquid-5.3% in that hour | -2.0%more than its usual 0.68% | -2.0%more than its usual 1.4% | +4.7%more than its usual 4.0% |
| Sep 23, 05:00 UTC51 days ago | Bets on a fall force-closedWhales were buying 29 min earlier | $0.845Hyperliquid+0.6% in that hour | +0.2%usual 0.72% | -2.0%more than its usual 1.4% | -8.9%more than its usual 4.3% |
| Sep 23, 05:00 UTC51 days ago | Whales buyingBets on a fall were force-closed 29 min later | $0.845Hyperliquid+0.6% in that hour | +0.2%usual 0.67% | -2.0%more than its usual 1.4% | -8.9%more than its usual 4.3% |
| Sep 22, 20:00 UTC51 days ago | Whales buying | $0.8014Hyperliquid+1.8% in that hour | -0.2%usual 0.67% | +2.1%more than its usual 1.4% | -5.8%more than its usual 4.3% |
| Sep 21, 16:00 UTC53 days ago | Whales buying | $0.7735Hyperliquid+0.1% in that hour | -2.8%more than its usual 0.65% | 0.0%usual 1.4% | -0.4%usual 4.9% |
| Sep 21, 07:00 UTC53 days ago | Whales selling | $0.7705Hyperliquid-0.7% in that hour | +0.1%usual 0.64% | +0.5%usual 1.3% | +0.3%usual 4.9% |
| Sep 18, 21:00 UTC55 days ago | Bets on a fall force-closedWhales were selling 5 min earlier | $0.729Hyperliquid0.0% in that hour | -1.7%more than its usual 0.62% | +3.0%more than its usual 1.4% | -1.2%usual 4.8% |
| Sep 18, 21:00 UTC55 days ago | Whales sellingBets on a fall were force-closed 5 min later | $0.729Hyperliquid0.0% in that hour | -1.7%more than its usual 0.60% | +3.0%more than its usual 1.3% | -1.2%usual 4.8% |
| Sep 18, 12:00 UTC56 days ago | Whales buying | $0.6933Hyperliquid+1.6% in that hour | -1.6%more than its usual 0.62% | -1.6%more than its usual 1.3% | +6.9%more than its usual 4.7% |
| Sep 18, 00:00 UTC56 days ago | Whales buyingBets on a fall were force-closed 2h earlier | $0.6055Hyperliquid+1.3% in that hour | +2.3%more than its usual 0.62% | +12.0%more than its usual 1.3% | +22.2%more than its usual 4.5% |
| Sep 17, 22:00 UTC56 days ago | Bets on a fall force-closedWhales were buying 2h later | $0.5937Hyperliquid+1.9% in that hour | +0.7%more than its usual 0.64% | +11.0%more than its usual 1.4% | +20.8%more than its usual 4.6% |
| Sep 17, 12:00 UTC57 days ago | Whales buying | $0.5744Hyperliquid+0.2% in that hour | +0.5%usual 0.64% | +1.6%more than its usual 1.3% | +20.7%more than its usual 4.4% |
| Sep 11, 11:00 UTC63 days ago | Bets on a rise force-closed | $0.6012Hyperliquid-1.1% in that hour | +2.1%more than its usual 0.62% | +1.0%usual 1.2% | +3.0%usual 3.3% |
How far above normal each time ran, and its buy and sell split, come with a paid plan. Start free, no card New accounts get 7 days of Pro. No card, nothing to cancel.
Not financial advice. A past move does not tell you the next one.
How this is counted
A time starts when whales trade far more APT in one hour than is normal for it, after at least six quiet hours. We note the price at the end of that hour, then one hour, four hours and one day later. Within half a percent either way is about flat.
Prices are our own hourly prices across exchanges where we hold them. For an hour we do not hold, they are Hyperliquid's hourly prices, and that time is then counted on Hyperliquid's prices from start to finish, never a mix: 26 of the 34 times here, each marked in the table.
Bets closed by force: within one minute, bets on one side were force-closed on at least three exchanges. A bet turned costly to hold: the fee to keep a bet open, averaged across exchanges, went past 0.05% for bets on a rise or 0.03% for bets on a fall. Each is compared only with earlier times of its own kind on the same side.
In that hour, under the price, is the move from the end of the hour before to the end of the hour it began in. It is the hour it happened, not what came after.
The usual move is the middle move of APT's ordinary hours over the same stretch: half of them moved less, half more. Moved more than usual means further than that, up or down.
Ordinary is APT's other hours within seven days either side of each time, counted the same way on the same prices, with every hour inside an unusual time left out. A time with fewer than 72 such hours around it has no ordinary.
No price means neither has a price for that moment. It is left out of the counts and never treated as a move.
