Radar / XPL

XPL: every time whale trading went unusual

29 times in the last 59 days that whales traded far more XPL in one hour than is normal for it.

Whales buying, began 3 hours ago. The price is +2.7% since it began at $0.08256 on Hyperliquid.

XPL price, with each time marked

Hourly, Sep 15 to Oct 11. A break in the line is an hour with no price.

$0.1209 $0.079

whales buying far more than normalwhales selling far more than normal

Where the price was a day later

After whales bought, 7 times
2 up1 about flat3 down1 not due yet
Ordinary hours around 5 of those 6 times: 43% up · 7% about flat · 50% down
Moved more than usual: 3 of 6 in the hour itself · 3 of 6 an hour later · 2 of 5 4 hours later · 2 of 5 a day later
After whales sold, 21 times
14 up2 about flat5 down
Ordinary hours around 19 of those 21 times: 40% up · 7% about flat · 53% down
Moved more than usual: 19 of 20 in the hour itself · 16 of 20 an hour later · 14 of 20 4 hours later · 13 of 19 a day later
After whales traded both ways, 1 time
1 down

Every time, newest first

Times are UTC. Under each move: XPL's usual move over the same stretch around then.

When What Price then 1 hour later 4 hours later 1 day later
Oct 15, 13:00 UTC3 hours ago Whales buyingnow $0.08256Hyperliquid+7.0% in that hour +2.0%more than its usual 0.50% not due yet not due yet
Oct 8, 17:00 UTC7 days ago Whales selling $0.0812Hyperliquid-1.9% in that hour +3.1%more than its usual 0.49% +3.5%more than its usual 0.94% +3.8%more than its usual 2.8%
Oct 7, 06:00 UTC8 days ago Whales buying $0.08862Hyperliquid+0.4% in that hour +0.1%usual 0.50% -2.6%more than its usual 1.0% -2.2%usual 2.6%
Oct 2, 14:00 UTC13 days ago Whales selling $0.09938Hyperliquid-1.3% in that hour +0.2%usual 0.59% -8.4%more than its usual 1.1% -3.2%more than its usual 2.8%
Sep 30, 18:00 UTC15 days ago Whales selling $0.09167Hyperliquid-2.5% in that hour +0.1%usual 0.65% +2.6%more than its usual 1.2% +5.7%more than its usual 3.1%
Sep 28, 14:00 UTC17 days ago Whales selling $0.09752Hyperliquid-4.6% in that hour +0.3%usual 0.77% +3.9%more than its usual 1.4% +3.8%more than its usual 3.0%
Sep 27, 15:00 UTC18 days ago Whales selling $0.1049Hyperliquid-0.8% in that hour +1.2%more than its usual 0.81% +1.9%more than its usual 1.6% -6.8%more than its usual 3.1%
Sep 26, 03:00 UTC20 days ago Whales selling $0.1105-2.5% in that hour +1.4% +5.2% -0.3%
Sep 25, 08:00 UTC20 days ago Whales trading both ways $0.1198+0.7% in that hour -4.1% -4.7% -1.9%
Sep 24, 15:00 UTC21 days ago Whales buying $0.1027+10.3% in that hour -0.9% +4.5% +7.1%
Sep 23, 14:00 UTC22 days ago Whales selling $0.08862-5.9% in that hour -1.8%more than its usual 0.81% -1.0%usual 1.7% +5.1%
Sep 22, 10:00 UTC23 days ago Whales selling $0.09409Hyperliquid-1.1% in that hour -1.0%more than its usual 0.89% -1.0%usual 1.6% +2.8%usual 4.8%
Sep 21, 09:00 UTC24 days ago Whales selling $0.0967Hyperliquid+0.9% in that hour +2.6%more than its usual 0.82% +5.8%more than its usual 1.5% -1.6%usual 4.8%
Sep 21, 03:00 UTC25 days ago Whales buying $0.09641Hyperliquid+0.1% in that hour -1.9%more than its usual 0.79% -1.8%more than its usual 1.5% +0.5%usual 4.8%
Sep 20, 12:00 UTC25 days ago Whales selling $0.08851Hyperliquid-2.0% in that hour -1.8%more than its usual 0.76% +3.7%more than its usual 1.5% +17.6%more than its usual 4.4%
Sep 20, 02:00 UTC26 days ago Whales selling $0.08938Hyperliquid-2.7% in that hour +2.5%more than its usual 0.73% +0.9%usual 1.4% +7.8%more than its usual 3.8%
Sep 19, 15:00 UTC26 days ago Whales buying $0.0931Hyperliquid+2.2% in that hour +0.2%usual 0.71% -0.8%usual 1.4% -6.0%more than its usual 3.3%
Sep 19, 03:00 UTC27 days ago Whales selling $0.09046Hyperliquid-1.5% in that hour -1.2%more than its usual 0.67% -0.3%usual 1.4% +1.3%usual 3.1%
Sep 17, 23:00 UTC28 days ago Whales selling $0.08736Hyperliquid+0.4% in that hour +0.9%more than its usual 0.65% +2.1%more than its usual 1.4% +7.6%more than its usual 3.3%
Sep 17, 11:00 UTC28 days ago Whales buying $0.08584Hyperliquid-1.2% in that hour -0.4%usual 0.65% -0.2%usual 1.4% +2.7%usual 3.1%
Sep 16, 18:00 UTC29 days ago Whales selling $0.08057Hyperliquid+1.1% in that hour -1.3%more than its usual 0.66% -1.6%more than its usual 1.3% +5.8%more than its usual 3.0%
Sep 13, 22:00 UTC32 days ago Whales selling $0.07752Hyperliquid-3.7% in that hour +0.4%usual 0.65% +3.3%more than its usual 1.3% +8.6%more than its usual 3.4%
Sep 11, 09:00 UTC34 days ago Whales selling $0.08437Hyperliquid-3.0% in that hour -2.0%more than its usual 0.65% +4.9%more than its usual 1.2% -1.5%usual 3.1%
Sep 9, 13:00 UTC36 days ago Whales buying $0.09696Hyperliquid-0.5% in that hour -0.8%more than its usual 0.69% -0.5%usual 1.3% -10.2%more than its usual 2.9%
Sep 7, 07:00 UTC38 days ago Whales selling $0.08664Hyperliquid-2.1% in that hour +1.0%more than its usual 0.67% +4.4%more than its usual 1.2% +6.1%more than its usual 3.0%
Sep 5, 21:00 UTC40 days ago Whales selling $0.09472Hyperliquid+1.4% in that hour -1.2%more than its usual 0.70% -0.8%usual 1.3% -5.5%more than its usual 3.1%
Sep 4, 12:00 UTC41 days ago Whales selling $0.09203Hyperliquid-9.4% in that hour +1.1%more than its usual 0.70% +3.5%more than its usual 1.2% +3.4%more than its usual 3.3%
Sep 4, 03:00 UTC42 days ago Whales selling $0.09257Hyperliquid-2.1% in that hour +1.2%more than its usual 0.70% +0.9%usual 1.2% +1.4%usual 3.3%
Sep 3, 13:00 UTC42 days ago Whales selling $0.09273Hyperliquid+2.5% in that hour +1.0%more than its usual 0.71% +4.7%more than its usual 1.2% +0.3%usual 3.5%

How far above normal each time ran, and its buy and sell split, come with a paid plan. Start free, no card New accounts get 7 days of Pro. No card, nothing to cancel.

Not financial advice. A past move does not tell you the next one.

How this is counted

A time starts when whales trade far more XPL in one hour than is normal for it, after at least six quiet hours. We note the price at the end of that hour, then one hour, four hours and one day later. Within half a percent either way is about flat.

Prices are our own hourly prices across exchanges where we hold them. For an hour we do not hold, they are Hyperliquid's hourly prices, and that time is then counted on Hyperliquid's prices from start to finish, never a mix: 25 of the 29 times here, each marked in the table.

In that hour, under the price, is the move from the end of the hour before to the end of the hour it began in. It is the hour it happened, not what came after.

The usual move is the middle move of XPL's ordinary hours over the same stretch: half of them moved less, half more. Moved more than usual means further than that, up or down.

Ordinary is XPL's other hours within seven days either side of each time, counted the same way on the same prices, with every hour inside an unusual time left out. A time with fewer than 72 such hours around it has no ordinary.

No price means neither has a price for that moment. It is left out of the counts and never treated as a move.