Radar / HBAR
HBAR: every time whale trading went unusual
15 times in the last 59 days that whales traded far more HBAR in one hour than is normal for it. Also listed: 1 time bets were closed by force.
Whales buying, began 17 hours ago. The price is -4.4% since it began at $0.06282.
The case both ways
Facts with their sources, and what followed the last times of each kind. Neither side is weighed.
Points up
- Whales mostly bought HBAR in the unusual time that began 17 hours ago.
- The last 5 times whales bought it like this: higher 2 times, lower 1 a day later.
- Joint guidance from the SEC and CFTC dated March 17, 2026 listed HBAR among digital commodities, according to a CoinStats analysis.coinstats · 17 Mar
- FedEx joined the Hedera Council on February 13, 2026, according to CoinStats.coinstats · 13 Feb
Points down
- The Hedera testnet upgrade to version 0.79, which had been scheduled for November 4, 2026, was cancelled on November 2, 2026 with no new date, according to the Hedera status page.status.hedera · 2 Nov
- Hedera Hashgraph LLC sued Exponential Science entities in New York, accusing them of holding back unspent HBAR grant funds after a grant deal was terminated.cryptonews
- An oracle exploit on the Bonzo Lend lending protocol on Hedera cost about $9.05 million in July 2026, and Hedera's total value locked fell nearly 40% within 24 hours, according to CoinStats.coinstats
- Grayscale withdrew its proposed Hedera spot ETF from the SEC in August 2026, according to CoinStats.coinstats
Dated ahead
- Singapore Fintech Festival, with Hedera sponsoring and attending with a booth
- FOMC minutes release
- PCE inflation report (October 2026) 8 up · 10 down · -0.1%
- BTC monthly options expiry
The last times
- HBAR around the last 41 Fed decisions: higher 18 times, lower 21 a day later, a typical move of -0.5% and +1.8% over the week.our own prices
- HBAR around the last 21 PCE inflation reports: higher 8 times, lower 10 a day later, a typical move of -0.1% and -4.1% over the week.our own prices
Hedera is a decentralized public network where developers can build secure, fair applications with near real-time consensus. (Smart Contract Platform, Layer 1 (L1), Hedera Ecosystem)
HBAR price, with each time marked
Hourly, Oct 13 to Nov 14. A break in the line is an hour with no price.
whales buying far more than normalwhales selling far more than normalforced closes or a costly fee
Where the price was a day later
Every time, newest first
Times are UTC. Under each move: HBAR's usual move over the same stretch around then.
| When | What | Price then | 1 hour later | 4 hours later | 1 day later |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 11:00 UTC17 hours ago | Whales buyingnow | $0.06282+0.5% in that hour | +0.7%more than its usual 0.33% | +0.5%usual 0.70% | not due yet |
| Nov 7, 15:00 UTC7 days ago | Whales selling | $0.06722-1.1% in that hour | +0.1%usual 0.33% | +0.1%usual 0.64% | -1.0%usual 1.6% |
| Oct 18, 15:00 UTC27 days ago | Whales selling | $0.08587-1.7% in that hour | +0.2%usual 0.38% | -4.7%more than its usual 0.91% | -4.6%more than its usual 2.0% |
| Sep 29, 16:00 UTC46 days ago | Whales buying | $0.1057Hyperliquid-5.9% in that hour | -1.8%more than its usual 0.48% | -1.9%more than its usual 1.0% | +2.2%usual 2.2% |
| Sep 29, 05:00 UTC46 days ago | Whales buying | $0.1196Hyperliquid-0.9% in that hour | -1.4%more than its usual 0.52% | -1.0%usual 1.0% | -12.5%more than its usual 2.2% |
| Sep 28, 08:00 UTC47 days ago | Whales selling | $0.1079Hyperliquid+11.3% in that hour | +4.0%more than its usual 0.53% | +10.8%more than its usual 1.0% | +9.7%more than its usual 2.3% |
| Sep 22, 20:00 UTC52 days ago | Bets on a fall force-closedWhales were selling 4h earlier | $0.09947Hyperliquid+0.9% in that hour | +0.3%usual 0.59% | -0.3%usual 1.1% | -9.5%more than its usual 4.0% |
| Sep 22, 16:00 UTC53 days ago | Whales sellingBets on a fall were force-closed 4h later | $0.09607Hyperliquid-2.5% in that hour | -0.1%usual 0.56% | +3.5%more than its usual 1.0% | -5.9%more than its usual 3.8% |
| Sep 22, 08:00 UTC53 days ago | Whales buying | $0.0973Hyperliquid+2.5% in that hour | -2.6%more than its usual 0.54% | -2.1%more than its usual 1.0% | +0.2%usual 3.9% |
| Sep 21, 20:00 UTC53 days ago | Whales buying | $0.09212Hyperliquid+0.8% in that hour | -0.2%usual 0.53% | +0.4%usual 1.0% | +8.0%more than its usual 3.8% |
| Sep 21, 09:00 UTC54 days ago | Whales selling | $0.08865Hyperliquid-0.2% in that hour | +1.2%more than its usual 0.52% | +2.9%more than its usual 1.0% | +6.9%more than its usual 3.6% |
| Sep 21, 00:00 UTC54 days ago | Whales selling | $0.08582Hyperliquid-0.9% in that hour | -0.7%more than its usual 0.50% | +1.4%more than its usual 1.0% | +7.7%more than its usual 3.3% |
| Sep 20, 14:00 UTC55 days ago | Whales selling | $0.0876Hyperliquid+1.7% in that hour | -1.2%more than its usual 0.51% | -1.8%more than its usual 1.0% | +4.5%more than its usual 3.2% |
| Sep 19, 10:00 UTC56 days ago | Whales buying | $0.08028Hyperliquid+1.0% in that hour | +0.7%more than its usual 0.47% | +0.8%usual 0.87% | 0.0%usual 2.9% |
| Sep 18, 15:00 UTC57 days ago | Whales selling | $0.07878Hyperliquid-0.2% in that hour | -0.4%usual 0.44% | +0.9%more than its usual 0.84% | +3.0%more than its usual 2.9% |
| Sep 18, 03:00 UTC57 days ago | Whales selling | $0.07738Hyperliquid+1.4% in that hour | -0.4%usual 0.45% | -1.1%more than its usual 0.86% | +2.8%usual 2.9% |
How far above normal each time ran, and its buy and sell split, come with a paid plan. Start free, no card New accounts get 7 days of Pro. No card, nothing to cancel.
Not financial advice. A past move does not tell you the next one.
How this is counted
A time starts when whales trade far more HBAR in one hour than is normal for it, after at least six quiet hours. We note the price at the end of that hour, then one hour, four hours and one day later. Within half a percent either way is about flat.
Prices are our own hourly prices across exchanges where we hold them. For an hour we do not hold, they are Hyperliquid's hourly prices, and that time is then counted on Hyperliquid's prices from start to finish, never a mix: 13 of the 16 times here, each marked in the table.
Bets closed by force: within one minute, bets on one side were force-closed on at least three exchanges. A bet turned costly to hold: the fee to keep a bet open, averaged across exchanges, went past 0.05% for bets on a rise or 0.03% for bets on a fall. Each is compared only with earlier times of its own kind on the same side.
In that hour, under the price, is the move from the end of the hour before to the end of the hour it began in. It is the hour it happened, not what came after.
The usual move is the middle move of HBAR's ordinary hours over the same stretch: half of them moved less, half more. Moved more than usual means further than that, up or down.
Ordinary is HBAR's other hours within seven days either side of each time, counted the same way on the same prices, with every hour inside an unusual time left out. A time with fewer than 72 such hours around it has no ordinary.
No price means neither has a price for that moment. It is left out of the counts and never treated as a move.
