Radar / JUP
JUP: every time whale trading went unusual
24 times in the last 85 days that whales traded far more JUP in one hour than is normal for it. Also listed: 5 times bets were closed by force, 3 times a bet turned costly to hold.
Whales selling, began 6 hours ago. The price is -0.5% since it began at $0.2487.
The case both ways
Facts with their sources, and what followed the last times of each kind. Neither side is weighed.
Points up
- ParaFi Capital agreed to invest $35 million in JUP tokens, with the deal settled entirely in JupUSD, Jupiter's stablecoin.coindesk · 2 Feb
- Jupiter announced a Polymarket integration on February 2, 2026, bringing prediction markets to Solana through the Jupiter platform.coindesk · 2 Feb
- Jupiter ranked first among cross-chain DEX aggregators by trading volume for an eighth straight quarter in Q3 2026, with about $57 billion routed.cryptobriefing
- Jupiter brought in about $17 million in revenue in Q3 2026, up 12% from the prior quarter, with swap fees contributing $8.85 million.cryptobriefing
Points down
- Whales mostly sold JUP in the unusual time that began 6 hours ago.
- Rival aggregator DFlow reached $15.4 billion in Q3 2026 volume and captured a record 23% of Solana aggregator volume by October, according to Cryptobriefing.cryptobriefing
- On September 27, 2026, Jupiter's daily share of Solana DEX aggregator volume dropped to 50%, according to Cryptonews.cryptonews · 27 Sep
- On February 28, 2026, a release of 253.47 million JUP, about 7.94% of released supply, took place.tradingview · 28 Feb
Dated ahead
- FOMC minutes release
- PCE inflation report (October 2026) 8 up · 12 down · -1.3%
- BTC monthly options expiry
- Fed rate decision and projections 11 up · 11 down · -0.4%
The last times
- The last 10 times whales sold it like this: higher 5 times, lower 5 a day later.
- JUP around the last 22 Fed decisions: higher 11 times, lower 11 a day later, a typical move of -0.4% and -4.5% over the week.our own prices
- JUP around the last 21 PCE inflation reports: higher 8 times, lower 12 a day later, a typical move of -1.3% and -3.8% over the week.our own prices
Jupiter is a cryptocurrency exchange platform on the Solana blockchain, offering features such as token swapping, limit orders, dollar-cost averaging, and a bridge for asset... (Decentralized Exchange (DEX), Exchange-based Tokens, Decentral
JUP price, with each time marked
Hourly, Oct 13 to Nov 15. A break in the line is an hour with no price.
whales buying far more than normalwhales selling far more than normalforced closes or a costly fee
Where the price was a day later
Every time, newest first
Times are UTC. Under each move: JUP's usual move over the same stretch around then.
| When | What | Price then | 1 hour later | 4 hours later | 1 day later |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 20:00 UTC6 hours ago | Whales sellingnow | $0.2487-3.8% in that hour | -1.7%more than its usual 0.42% | +0.4%usual 0.92% | not due yet |
| Nov 11, 20:00 UTC3 days ago | Costly to bet on a fall | $0.2584-1.2% in that hour | +0.1%usual 0.37% | -0.8%usual 0.89% | +2.5%more than its usual 2.2% |
| Nov 8, 08:00 UTC7 days ago | Costly to bet on a fall | $0.2405+0.1% in that hour | -0.5%more than its usual 0.38% | -0.1%usual 0.95% | -2.5%usual 2.6% |
| Nov 7, 12:00 UTC8 days ago | Costly to bet on a fall | $0.2407+0.1% in that hour | +0.3%usual 0.36% | +0.1%usual 0.91% | -0.2%usual 2.5% |
| Oct 24, 19:00 UTC21 days ago | Whales selling | $0.2911+0.6% in that hour | -1.5%more than its usual 0.47% | -0.7%usual 0.88% | -1.6%usual 2.6% |
| Oct 20, 14:00 UTC26 days ago | Whales trading both ways | $0.3167+4.2% in that hour | -1.0%more than its usual 0.44% | -0.4%usual 0.87% | +1.4%usual 3.3% |
| Oct 8, 15:00 UTC37 days ago | Whales trading both ways | $0.3473Hyperliquid-3.4% in that hour | -1.6%more than its usual 0.58% | -3.2%more than its usual 1.3% | +6.9%more than its usual 3.9% |
| Oct 4, 23:00 UTC41 days ago | Whales selling | $0.3349Hyperliquid-0.3% in that hour | -0.2%usual 0.62% | -1.9%more than its usual 1.3% | +4.3%more than its usual 3.3% |
| Oct 2, 12:00 UTC44 days ago | Whales buying | $0.3351Hyperliquid+2.0% in that hour | -0.6%usual 0.65% | -1.8%more than its usual 1.4% | -4.1%more than its usual 3.1% |
| Sep 28, 14:00 UTC48 days ago | Whales selling | $0.3234Hyperliquid-5.2% in that hour | +1.0%more than its usual 0.71% | +2.9%more than its usual 1.2% | +1.7%usual 3.0% |
| Sep 27, 20:00 UTC48 days ago | Whales selling | $0.3436Hyperliquid-1.5% in that hour | +5.5%more than its usual 0.72% | +6.2%more than its usual 1.2% | -4.2%more than its usual 2.9% |
| Sep 26, 17:00 UTC49 days ago | Whales selling | $0.3429Hyperliquid-1.0% in that hour | -0.7%usual 0.76% | -1.1%usual 1.4% | -1.1%usual 3.2% |
| Sep 25, 22:00 UTC50 days ago | Whales selling | $0.3448Hyperliquid+2.9% in that hour | -0.8%usual 0.78% | -1.6%more than its usual 1.4% | -1.5%usual 3.2% |
| Sep 25, 10:00 UTC51 days ago | Whales buying | $0.3207Hyperliquid+1.6% in that hour | +2.0%more than its usual 0.80% | +1.7%more than its usual 1.3% | +9.1%more than its usual 3.3% |
| Sep 24, 10:00 UTC52 days ago | Whales selling | $0.2851Hyperliquid+0.7% in that hour | +1.7%more than its usual 0.79% | +3.9%more than its usual 1.4% | +12.5%more than its usual 3.3% |
| Sep 23, 12:00 UTC53 days ago | Whales buying | $0.3035Hyperliquid+1.1% in that hour | -1.4%more than its usual 0.81% | -6.4%more than its usual 1.4% | -4.1%more than its usual 4.0% |
| Sep 21, 10:00 UTC55 days ago | Whales buying | $0.3066Hyperliquid+0.6% in that hour | -1.2%more than its usual 0.76% | -0.4%usual 1.4% | -5.4%more than its usual 5.3% |
| Sep 20, 22:00 UTC55 days ago | Whales buying | $0.2893Hyperliquid+1.3% in that hour | +3.6%more than its usual 0.75% | +5.7%more than its usual 1.3% | +2.8%usual 5.0% |
| Sep 19, 10:00 UTC57 days ago | Whales buying | $0.2765Hyperliquid-2.0% in that hour | +1.0%more than its usual 0.69% | +2.0%more than its usual 1.3% | -2.4%usual 4.8% |
| Sep 19, 02:00 UTC57 days ago | Whales buying | $0.276Hyperliquid+2.1% in that hour | +0.9%more than its usual 0.66% | -2.1%more than its usual 1.2% | -3.1%usual 4.9% |
| Sep 18, 01:00 UTC58 days ago | Whales buying | $0.242Hyperliquid+1.7% in that hour | -0.2%usual 0.69% | +5.0%more than its usual 1.2% | +11.7%more than its usual 4.6% |
| Sep 16, 18:00 UTC59 days ago | Whales selling | $0.2114Hyperliquid+0.8% in that hour | +1.3%more than its usual 0.69% | +0.3%usual 1.2% | +9.7%more than its usual 4.4% |
| Sep 12, 01:00 UTC64 days ago | Whales buying | $0.2476Hyperliquid+0.8% in that hour | -1.3%more than its usual 0.64% | -1.6%more than its usual 1.2% | -2.3%usual 5.3% |
| Sep 9, 21:00 UTC66 days ago | Whales sellingBets on a rise were force-closed 2 min earlier | $0.2309Hyperliquid-4.5% in that hour | -0.4%usual 0.62% | -0.2%usual 1.1% | -1.7%usual 4.5% |
| Sep 9, 21:00 UTC66 days ago | Bets on a rise force-closedWhales were selling 2 min later | $0.2309Hyperliquid-4.5% in that hour | -0.4%usual 0.64% | -0.2%usual 1.2% | -1.7%usual 4.5% |
| Sep 8, 08:00 UTC68 days ago | Bets on a rise force-closed | $0.2437Hyperliquid-0.7% in that hour | +0.8%more than its usual 0.64% | -0.8%usual 1.2% | +2.5%usual 4.2% |
| Sep 7, 03:00 UTC69 days ago | Bets on a rise force-closedWhales were buying 4h earlier | $0.2509Hyperliquid-6.6% in that hour | -0.8%more than its usual 0.66% | +1.0%usual 1.3% | -0.6%usual 4.1% |
| Sep 6, 23:00 UTC69 days ago | Whales buyingBets on a rise were force-closed 4h later | $0.276Hyperliquid+3.3% in that hour | -2.8%more than its usual 0.63% | -9.1%more than its usual 1.2% | -8.0%more than its usual 4.1% |
| Sep 6, 10:00 UTC70 days ago | Bets on a fall force-closedWhales were buying 4h earlier | $0.2658Hyperliquid+5.3% in that hour | +2.1%more than its usual 0.67% | +0.3%usual 1.3% | -2.7%usual 4.2% |
| Sep 6, 06:00 UTC70 days ago | Whales buyingBets on a fall were force-closed 3h earlier | $0.2413Hyperliquid+4.3% in that hour | -0.7%more than its usual 0.62% | +10.2%more than its usual 1.3% | +4.3%more than its usual 4.2% |
| Sep 6, 03:00 UTC70 days ago | Bets on a fall force-closedWhales were buying 3h later | $0.234Hyperliquid+3.2% in that hour | -0.3%usual 0.65% | +2.3%more than its usual 1.3% | +7.2%more than its usual 4.3% |
| Sep 6, 00:00 UTC70 days ago | Whales sellingBets on a fall were force-closed 3h later | $0.2213Hyperliquid+0.6% in that hour | +1.4%more than its usual 0.62% | +5.4%more than its usual 1.3% | +21.3%more than its usual 4.4% |
How far above normal each time ran, and its buy and sell split, come with a paid plan. Start free, no card New accounts get 7 days of Pro. No card, nothing to cancel.
Not financial advice. A past move does not tell you the next one.
How this is counted
A time starts when whales trade far more JUP in one hour than is normal for it, after at least six quiet hours. We note the price at the end of that hour, then one hour, four hours and one day later. Within half a percent either way is about flat.
Prices are our own hourly prices across exchanges where we hold them. For an hour we do not hold, they are Hyperliquid's hourly prices, and that time is then counted on Hyperliquid's prices from start to finish, never a mix: 26 of the 32 times here, each marked in the table.
Bets closed by force: within one minute, bets on one side were force-closed on at least three exchanges. A bet turned costly to hold: the fee to keep a bet open, averaged across exchanges, went past 0.05% for bets on a rise or 0.03% for bets on a fall. Each is compared only with earlier times of its own kind on the same side.
In that hour, under the price, is the move from the end of the hour before to the end of the hour it began in. It is the hour it happened, not what came after.
The usual move is the middle move of JUP's ordinary hours over the same stretch: half of them moved less, half more. Moved more than usual means further than that, up or down.
Ordinary is JUP's other hours within seven days either side of each time, counted the same way on the same prices, with every hour inside an unusual time left out. A time with fewer than 72 such hours around it has no ordinary.
No price means neither has a price for that moment. It is left out of the counts and never treated as a move.
