Radar / XAUT

XAUT: every time whale trading went unusual

31 times in the last 58 days that whales traded far more XAUT in one hour than is normal for it. Also listed: 2 times a bet turned costly to hold.

Whales selling, began 53 min ago. The price is +0.1% since it began at $4,102.

XAUT price, with each time marked

Hourly, Sep 17 to Oct 14. A break in the line is an hour with no price.

$4,375 $4,083

whales buying far more than normalwhales selling far more than normalforced closes or a costly fee

Where the price was a day later

After whales bought, 15 times
1 up2 about flat3 down9 no price
Ordinary hours around those times: 16% up · 56% about flat · 28% down
Moved more than usual: 4 of 6 in the hour itself · 3 of 6 an hour later · 5 of 6 4 hours later · 5 of 6 a day later
After whales sold, 16 times
1 up4 about flat10 no price1 not due yet
Ordinary hours around those times: 17% up · 59% about flat · 24% down
Moved more than usual: 3 of 6 in the hour itself · 4 of 5 an hour later · 4 of 5 4 hours later · 2 of 5 a day later
After betting on a fall turned costly, 2 times
2 no price

Every time, newest first

Times are UTC. Under each move: XAUT's usual move over the same stretch around then.

When What Price then 1 hour later 4 hours later 1 day later
Oct 14, 20:00 UTC53 min ago Whales sellingnow $4,1030.0% in that hour not due yet not due yet not due yet
Oct 8, 18:00 UTC6 days ago Whales selling $4,125-0.2% in that hour +0.2%more than its usual 0.07% +0.2%more than its usual 0.13% +1.7%more than its usual 0.33%
Oct 8, 03:00 UTC7 days ago Whales buying $4,138+0.1% in that hour 0.0%usual 0.07% -0.4%more than its usual 0.15% +0.8%more than its usual 0.33%
Oct 7, 09:00 UTC8 days ago Whales selling $4,123-0.1% in that hour -0.1%more than its usual 0.07% -0.5%more than its usual 0.14% 0.0%usual 0.33%
Oct 6, 02:00 UTC9 days ago Whales selling $4,132-0.1% in that hour -0.1%more than its usual 0.08% 0.0%usual 0.15% +0.3%usual 0.32%
Oct 5, 16:00 UTC9 days ago Whales buying $4,135-0.1% in that hour +0.1%more than its usual 0.08% +0.1%usual 0.15% +0.4%more than its usual 0.35%
Oct 2, 15:00 UTC12 days ago Whales selling $4,132-0.7% in that hour +0.3%more than its usual 0.08% +0.4%more than its usual 0.16% +0.2%usual 0.41%
Oct 2, 03:00 UTC13 days ago Whales buying $4,179+0.3% in that hour +0.2%more than its usual 0.08% +0.2%more than its usual 0.16% -0.9%more than its usual 0.42%
Sep 24, 19:00 UTC20 days ago Whales selling $4,271-0.1% in that hour -0.1%usual 0.10% -0.3%more than its usual 0.19% +0.5%more than its usual 0.46%
Sep 23, 11:00 UTC21 days ago Whales buying $4,313-0.1% in that hour 0.0%usual 0.10% -0.7%more than its usual 0.18% -1.1%more than its usual 0.46%
Sep 23, 04:00 UTC22 days ago Whales buying $4,3440.0% in that hour -0.2%more than its usual 0.10% -0.5%more than its usual 0.17% -1.3%more than its usual 0.47%
Sep 22, 03:00 UTC23 days ago Whales buying $4,344-0.1% in that hour 0.0%usual 0.09% -0.9%more than its usual 0.16% 0.0%usual 0.46%
Sep 18, 14:00 UTC26 days ago Whales buying no price no price no price no price
Sep 16, 14:00 UTC28 days ago Whales buying no price no price no price no price
Sep 16, 07:00 UTC29 days ago Whales selling no price no price no price no price
Sep 14, 09:00 UTC31 days ago Whales selling no price no price no price no price
Sep 7, 06:00 UTC38 days ago Whales selling no price no price no price no price
Sep 2, 16:00 UTC42 days ago Whales buying no price no price no price no price
Sep 1, 12:00 UTC43 days ago Whales buying no price no price no price no price
Aug 31, 09:00 UTC45 days ago Whales buying no price no price no price no price
Aug 20, 17:00 UTC55 days ago Whales buying no price no price no price no price
Aug 18, 15:00 UTC57 days ago Whales selling no price no price no price no price
Aug 13, 19:00 UTC62 days ago Whales selling no price no price no price no price
Aug 7, 15:00 UTC68 days ago Whales selling no price no price no price no price
Aug 6, 05:00 UTC70 days ago Whales sellingBetting on a fall was costly 5h earlier no price no price no price no price
Aug 6, 00:00 UTC70 days ago Costly to bet on a fallWhales were selling 5h later no price no price no price no price
Aug 5, 12:00 UTC70 days ago Costly to bet on a fallWhales were buying 5h earlier no price no price no price no price
Aug 5, 07:00 UTC71 days ago Whales buyingBetting on a fall was costly 5h later no price no price no price no price
Aug 4, 10:00 UTC71 days ago Whales selling no price no price no price no price
Aug 3, 19:00 UTC72 days ago Whales buying no price no price no price no price
Jul 30, 10:00 UTC76 days ago Whales selling no price no price no price no price
Jul 27, 14:00 UTC79 days ago Whales selling no price no price no price no price
Jul 22, 03:00 UTC85 days ago Whales buying no price no price no price no price

How far above normal each time ran, and its buy and sell split, come with a paid plan. Start free, no card New accounts get 7 days of Pro. No card, nothing to cancel.

Not financial advice. A past move does not tell you the next one.

How this is counted

A time starts when whales trade far more XAUT in one hour than is normal for it, after at least six quiet hours. We note the price at the end of that hour, then one hour, four hours and one day later. Within half a percent either way is about flat.

Prices are our own hourly prices across exchanges where we hold them. For an hour we do not hold, they are Hyperliquid's hourly prices, and that time is then counted on Hyperliquid's prices from start to finish, never a mix.

Bets closed by force: within one minute, bets on one side were force-closed on at least three exchanges. A bet turned costly to hold: the fee to keep a bet open, averaged across exchanges, went past 0.05% for bets on a rise or 0.03% for bets on a fall. Each is compared only with earlier times of its own kind on the same side.

In that hour, under the price, is the move from the end of the hour before to the end of the hour it began in. It is the hour it happened, not what came after.

The usual move is the middle move of XAUT's ordinary hours over the same stretch: half of them moved less, half more. Moved more than usual means further than that, up or down.

Ordinary is XAUT's other hours within seven days either side of each time, counted the same way on the same prices, with every hour inside an unusual time left out. A time with fewer than 72 such hours around it has no ordinary.

No price means neither has a price for that moment. It is left out of the counts and never treated as a move.