Radar / TAO
TAO: every time whale trading went unusual
28 times in the last 55 days that whales traded far more TAO in one hour than is normal for it. Also listed: 10 times bets were closed by force.
Whales selling, began 50 min ago.
TAO price, with each time marked
Hourly, Sep 17 to Oct 16. A break in the line is an hour with no price.
whales buying far more than normalwhales selling far more than normalforced closes or a costly fee
Where the price was a day later
Every time, newest first
Times are UTC. Under each move: TAO's usual move over the same stretch around then.
| When | What | Price then | 1 hour later | 4 hours later | 1 day later |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 17:00 UTC50 min ago | Whales sellingnow | $277.57+0.3% in that hour | not due yet | not due yet | not due yet |
| Oct 8, 12:00 UTC8 days ago | Whales selling | $278.20-0.5% in that hour | +0.3%usual 0.44% | -5.3%more than its usual 0.89% | -1.2%usual 3.2% |
| Oct 7, 02:00 UTC10 days ago | Whales buying | $292.40-1.6% in that hour | +0.3%usual 0.45% | +2.9%more than its usual 0.89% | -0.2%usual 2.7% |
| Oct 2, 18:00 UTC14 days ago | Whales selling | $288.00-5.4% in that hour | -0.6%more than its usual 0.56% | +0.2%usual 1.0% | +2.7%more than its usual 2.6% |
| Sep 29, 19:00 UTC17 days ago | Whales selling | $303.20-1.8% in that hour | +0.4%usual 0.61% | -0.9%usual 1.1% | -1.2%usual 2.9% |
| Sep 29, 09:00 UTC17 days ago | Whales trading both ways | $313.20-0.7% in that hour | +0.2%usual 0.64% | +0.5%usual 1.2% | -3.3%more than its usual 2.9% |
| Sep 26, 12:00 UTC20 days ago | Whales trading both waysBets on a fall were force-closed 45 min earlier | $331.18+0.4% in that hour | -1.6%more than its usual 0.68% | +0.8%usual 1.4% | +0.3%usual 3.6% |
| Sep 26, 11:00 UTC20 days ago | Bets on a fall force-closedWhales were trading both ways 45 min later | $329.80+3.1% in that hour | +0.4%usual 0.73% | +2.7%more than its usual 1.4% | +0.2%usual 3.4% |
| Sep 25, 13:00 UTC21 days ago | Whales selling | $303.90-0.9% in that hour | +0.1%usual 0.74% | 0.0%usual 1.4% | +7.3%more than its usual 3.3% |
| Sep 23, 22:00 UTC23 days ago | Bets on a rise force-closed | $286.75-0.4% in that hour | +0.1%usual 0.81% | +0.5%usual 1.4% | +2.7%usual 3.3% |
| Sep 23, 14:00 UTC23 days ago | Whales buying | $302.40-2.8% in that hour | -3.9%more than its usual 0.77% | -3.7%more than its usual 1.5% | -5.5%more than its usual 3.5% |
| Sep 23, 08:00 UTC23 days ago | Whales selling | $310.10-0.5% in that hour | -0.1%usual 0.75% | -0.6%usual 1.5% | -7.2%more than its usual 3.6% |
| Sep 21, 19:00 UTC25 days ago | Bets on a fall force-closed | $306.30+7.2% in that hour | +0.2%usual 0.79% | +4.3%more than its usual 1.5% | +2.1%usual 4.2% |
| Sep 21, 08:00 UTC25 days ago | Whales buyingBets on a fall were force-closed 23 min earlier | $277.08Hyperliquid+1.7% in that hour | +0.2%usual 0.66% | +3.9%more than its usual 1.4% | +17.1%more than its usual 5.6% |
| Sep 21, 08:00 UTC25 days ago | Bets on a fall force-closedWhales were buying 23 min later | $277.08Hyperliquid+1.7% in that hour | +0.2%usual 0.71% | +3.9%more than its usual 1.4% | +17.1%more than its usual 5.5% |
| Sep 20, 17:00 UTC26 days ago | Whales selling | $262.25Hyperliquid-1.1% in that hour | 0.0%usual 0.63% | -0.3%usual 1.2% | +7.1%more than its usual 5.5% |
| Sep 19, 21:00 UTC27 days ago | Bets on a rise force-closed | $262.47Hyperliquid-0.9% in that hour | +1.2%more than its usual 0.66% | +0.5%usual 1.2% | -0.4%usual 5.0% |
| Sep 19, 07:00 UTC27 days ago | Whales buying | $252.63Hyperliquid-1.1% in that hour | +1.9%more than its usual 0.59% | +6.3%more than its usual 1.1% | -0.3%usual 4.8% |
| Sep 18, 19:00 UTC28 days ago | Whales selling | $250.58Hyperliquid+0.9% in that hour | -0.2%usual 0.58% | -0.1%usual 1.1% | +5.0%more than its usual 4.8% |
| Sep 18, 13:00 UTC28 days ago | Whales selling | $249.01Hyperliquid+0.8% in that hour | +1.7%more than its usual 0.59% | +0.5%usual 1.0% | +7.6%more than its usual 4.6% |
| Sep 18, 05:00 UTC29 days ago | Whales buyingBets on a fall were force-closed 16 min earlier | $241.17Hyperliquid-1.4% in that hour | +1.2%more than its usual 0.59% | +3.7%more than its usual 1.1% | +5.6%more than its usual 4.3% |
| Sep 18, 04:00 UTC29 days ago | Bets on a fall force-closedWhales were buying 16 min later | $244.48Hyperliquid+1.8% in that hour | -1.4%more than its usual 0.61% | +1.5%more than its usual 1.1% | +4.0%usual 4.4% |
| Sep 17, 12:00 UTC29 days ago | Whales buying | $227.33Hyperliquid+0.3% in that hour | 0.0%usual 0.57% | +0.8%usual 1.1% | +8.6%more than its usual 4.1% |
| Sep 15, 07:00 UTC31 days ago | Bets on a rise force-closed | $226.89Hyperliquid-1.5% in that hour | +0.1%usual 0.59% | -0.9%usual 1.1% | -4.8%more than its usual 3.9% |
| Sep 11, 08:00 UTC35 days ago | Whales buying | $237.89Hyperliquid+1.0% in that hour | -1.7%more than its usual 0.56% | +0.7%usual 1.0% | -1.0%usual 3.7% |
| Sep 10, 14:00 UTC36 days ago | Whales sellingBets on a rise were force-closed 4h earlier | $239.51Hyperliquid-1.4% in that hour | +0.5%usual 0.54% | +0.6%usual 1.0% | +1.0%usual 3.1% |
| Sep 10, 11:00 UTC36 days ago | Bets on a rise force-closedWhales were selling 4h later | $251.21Hyperliquid+0.1% in that hour | -3.0%more than its usual 0.55% | -4.2%more than its usual 1.0% | -7.5%more than its usual 2.8% |
| Sep 7, 14:00 UTC39 days ago | Whales selling | $264.04Hyperliquid-0.2% in that hour | -2.6%more than its usual 0.51% | -1.5%more than its usual 0.90% | -2.3%usual 2.6% |
| Sep 7, 02:00 UTC40 days ago | Whales buying | $274.30Hyperliquid+4.6% in that hour | -1.5%more than its usual 0.52% | -2.4%more than its usual 0.88% | -6.3%more than its usual 2.3% |
| Sep 6, 19:00 UTC40 days ago | Bets on a fall force-closedWhales were buying 3h earlier | $268.51Hyperliquid+4.1% in that hour | -0.4%usual 0.52% | -0.8%usual 0.88% | -3.5%more than its usual 2.3% |
| Sep 6, 16:00 UTC40 days ago | Whales buyingBets on a fall were force-closed 3h later | $250.64Hyperliquid+0.6% in that hour | +2.7%more than its usual 0.52% | +6.7%more than its usual 0.92% | +4.5%more than its usual 2.5% |
| Sep 5, 21:00 UTC41 days ago | Whales buying | $236.49Hyperliquid+1.3% in that hour | -0.2%usual 0.49% | +0.4%usual 0.88% | +12.4%more than its usual 3.0% |
| Aug 22, 14:00 UTC55 days ago | Whales buying | $221.34Hyperliquid-1.2% in that hour | -0.1%usual 0.47% | +1.9%more than its usual 0.93% | +5.8%more than its usual 3.0% |
| Aug 9, 13:00 UTC68 days ago | Whales buying | $209.11Hyperliquid+1.2% in that hour | -0.1%usual 0.27% | -0.9%more than its usual 0.50% | -2.7%more than its usual 1.4% |
| Aug 9, 06:00 UTC69 days ago | Whales sellingBets on a fall were force-closed 5h earlier | $205.53Hyperliquid-0.4% in that hour | +0.4%more than its usual 0.27% | -0.3%usual 0.50% | -0.7%usual 1.5% |
| Aug 9, 00:00 UTC69 days ago | Bets on a fall force-closedWhales were selling 5h later | $208.79Hyperliquid+2.4% in that hour | -1.6%more than its usual 0.28% | -1.2%more than its usual 0.52% | -2.3%more than its usual 1.6% |
| Aug 8, 06:00 UTC70 days ago | Whales buying | $197.40Hyperliquid+0.9% in that hour | -0.4%more than its usual 0.29% | -0.3%usual 0.60% | +4.1%more than its usual 1.6% |
| Aug 7, 17:00 UTC70 days ago | Whales selling | $191.28Hyperliquid-0.9% in that hour | +0.1%usual 0.29% | +1.4%more than its usual 0.61% | +4.1%more than its usual 1.6% |
How far above normal each time ran, and its buy and sell split, come with a paid plan. Start free, no card New accounts get 7 days of Pro. No card, nothing to cancel.
Not financial advice. A past move does not tell you the next one.
How this is counted
A time starts when whales trade far more TAO in one hour than is normal for it, after at least six quiet hours. We note the price at the end of that hour, then one hour, four hours and one day later. Within half a percent either way is about flat.
Prices are our own hourly prices across exchanges where we hold them. For an hour we do not hold, they are Hyperliquid's hourly prices, and that time is then counted on Hyperliquid's prices from start to finish, never a mix: 25 of the 38 times here, each marked in the table.
Bets closed by force: within one minute, bets on one side were force-closed on at least three exchanges. A bet turned costly to hold: the fee to keep a bet open, averaged across exchanges, went past 0.05% for bets on a rise or 0.03% for bets on a fall. Each is compared only with earlier times of its own kind on the same side.
In that hour, under the price, is the move from the end of the hour before to the end of the hour it began in. It is the hour it happened, not what came after.
The usual move is the middle move of TAO's ordinary hours over the same stretch: half of them moved less, half more. Moved more than usual means further than that, up or down.
Ordinary is TAO's other hours within seven days either side of each time, counted the same way on the same prices, with every hour inside an unusual time left out. A time with fewer than 72 such hours around it has no ordinary.
No price means neither has a price for that moment. It is left out of the counts and never treated as a move.
