Radar / AAVE
AAVE: every time whale trading went unusual
36 times in the last 68 days that whales traded far more AAVE in one hour than is normal for it. Also listed: 14 times bets were closed by force.
Whales buying, began 2 hours ago. The price is +0.8% since it began at $135.52.
AAVE price, with each time marked
Hourly, Sep 22 to Oct 24. A break in the line is an hour with no price.
$186.40
$135.14
whales buying far more than normalwhales selling far more than normalforced closes or a costly fee
Where the price was a day later
After whales bought, 22 times
9 up2 about flat10 down1 not due yet
Ordinary hours around those times: 50% up · 11% about flat · 39% down
Moved more than usual: 15 of 22 in the hour itself · 12 of 22 an hour later · 12 of 21 4 hours later · 10 of 21 a day later
After whales sold, 12 times
6 up3 about flat3 down
Ordinary hours around those times: 49% up · 8% about flat · 43% down
Moved more than usual: 9 of 12 in the hour itself · 10 of 12 an hour later · 7 of 12 4 hours later · 5 of 12 a day later
After whales traded both ways, 2 times
1 up1 down
Ordinary hours around those times: 56% up · 7% about flat · 37% down
Moved more than usual: 1 of 2 in the hour itself · 0 of 2 an hour later · 0 of 2 4 hours later · 0 of 2 a day later
After bets on a rise were force-closed, 7 times
3 up3 down1 not due yet
Ordinary hours around those times: 38% up · 11% about flat · 51% down
Moved more than usual: 3 of 7 in the hour itself · 7 of 7 an hour later · 5 of 7 4 hours later · 2 of 6 a day later
After bets on a fall were force-closed, 7 times
3 up4 down
Ordinary hours around those times: 54% up · 9% about flat · 37% down
Moved more than usual: 5 of 7 in the hour itself · 4 of 7 an hour later · 5 of 7 4 hours later · 5 of 7 a day later
Every time, newest first
Times are UTC. Under each move: AAVE's usual move over the same stretch around then.
| When | What | Price then | 1 hour later | 4 hours later | 1 day later |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 16:00 UTC2 hours ago | Whales buyingnowBets on a rise were force-closed 3h earlier | $135.66+0.4% in that hour | -0.2%usual 0.43% | not due yet | not due yet |
| Oct 24, 13:00 UTC6 hours ago | Bets on a rise force-closednowWhales were buying 3h later | $138.67-1.0% in that hour | -2.1%more than its usual 0.41% | -2.4%more than its usual 1.0% | not due yet |
| Oct 18, 18:00 UTC6 days ago | Bets on a rise force-closed | $149.24-0.1% in that hour | -2.0%more than its usual 0.39% | +1.5%more than its usual 1.0% | -0.8%usual 2.7% |
| Oct 11, 06:00 UTC14 days ago | Bets on a rise force-closed | $167.640.0% in that hour | -0.4%more than its usual 0.39% | -0.5%usual 0.87% | +0.8%usual 2.3% |
| Oct 3, 04:00 UTC22 days ago | Bets on a rise force-closed | $177.38-1.1% in that hour | +0.9%more than its usual 0.51% | +1.9%more than its usual 0.93% | +2.6%usual 2.7% |
| Oct 2, 01:00 UTC23 days ago | Whales buyingBets on a fall were force-closed 2h earlier | $176.41+2.2% in that hour | -0.8%more than its usual 0.50% | +2.9%more than its usual 1.0% | +3.0%more than its usual 2.9% |
| Oct 1, 23:00 UTC23 days ago | Bets on a fall force-closedWhales were buying 2h later | $171.39-0.3% in that hour | +0.8%more than its usual 0.51% | +3.1%more than its usual 0.93% | +4.8%more than its usual 2.8% |
| Oct 1, 14:00 UTC23 days ago | Whales selling | $165.78-0.2% in that hour | +1.5%more than its usual 0.51% | +1.3%more than its usual 0.93% | +10.3%more than its usual 3.1% |
| Sep 30, 12:00 UTC24 days ago | Whales buying | $164.11+1.3% in that hour | -1.2%more than its usual 0.51% | -1.6%more than its usual 1.0% | -0.6%usual 3.3% |
| Sep 29, 10:00 UTC25 days ago | Bets on a fall force-closedWhales were buying 5h earlier | $168.53+1.8% in that hour | +1.7%more than its usual 0.51% | +3.5%more than its usual 1.0% | -4.9%more than its usual 3.2% |
| Sep 29, 06:00 UTC26 days ago | Whales buyingBets on a fall were force-closed 5h later | $156.29+1.5% in that hour | +4.8%more than its usual 0.50% | +7.8%more than its usual 1.0% | +2.1%usual 3.5% |
| Sep 27, 01:00 UTC28 days ago | Whales trading both ways | $155.40+0.2% in that hour | -0.2%usual 0.52% | +0.7%usual 1.1% | -1.8%usual 4.3% |
| Sep 26, 16:00 UTC28 days ago | Whales buying | $155.17+0.2% in that hour | 0.0%usual 0.54% | -1.2%more than its usual 1.1% | -0.6%usual 4.5% |
| Sep 26, 04:00 UTC29 days ago | Whales buying | $154.450.0% in that hour | -0.5%usual 0.57% | -0.1%usual 1.2% | +0.2%usual 4.6% |
| Sep 25, 16:00 UTC29 days ago | Whales trading both ways | $153.05+3.0% in that hour | +0.3%usual 0.56% | -0.7%usual 1.2% | +1.4%usual 4.9% |
| Sep 23, 14:00 UTC31 days ago | Whales selling | $141.67-3.1% in that hour | -1.8%more than its usual 0.53% | -2.0%more than its usual 1.2% | +0.1%usual 4.6% |
| Sep 23, 00:00 UTC32 days ago | Bets on a fall force-closed | $147.95-0.1% in that hour | -0.1%usual 0.52% | +1.5%more than its usual 1.1% | -6.9%more than its usual 4.4% |
| Sep 21, 18:00 UTC33 days ago | Whales selling | $144.66Hyperliquid+1.4% in that hour | +0.6%more than its usual 0.54% | +1.0%usual 1.1% | -0.5%usual 5.0% |
| Sep 21, 06:00 UTC34 days ago | Whales buying | $139.20Hyperliquid+0.9% in that hour | -0.3%usual 0.52% | +5.7%more than its usual 1.0% | +2.0%usual 4.7% |
| Sep 20, 21:00 UTC34 days ago | Whales selling | $137.28Hyperliquid+0.3% in that hour | +0.5%more than its usual 0.51% | -0.2%usual 1.0% | +4.6%usual 4.7% |
| Sep 20, 03:00 UTC35 days ago | Whales buying | $137.61Hyperliquid0.0% in that hour | +0.1%usual 0.51% | -0.6%usual 1.0% | +1.1%usual 4.4% |
| Sep 19, 03:00 UTC36 days ago | Bets on a fall force-closedWhales were selling 2h earlier | $143.16Hyperliquid-0.8% in that hour | -0.3%usual 0.50% | -0.6%usual 1.0% | -3.9%usual 4.1% |
| Sep 19, 00:00 UTC36 days ago | Whales sellingBets on a fall were force-closed 2h later | $143.14Hyperliquid+2.5% in that hour | -0.6%more than its usual 0.48% | -0.3%usual 1.0% | -1.8%usual 4.4% |
| Sep 18, 13:00 UTC36 days ago | Whales buyingBets on a fall were force-closed 59 min earlier | $139.11Hyperliquid+1.2% in that hour | -0.6%more than its usual 0.49% | -0.5%usual 1.0% | +2.5%usual 4.3% |
| Sep 18, 12:00 UTC36 days ago | Bets on a fall force-closedWhales were buying 59 min later | $137.50Hyperliquid+1.9% in that hour | +1.2%more than its usual 0.50% | +0.3%usual 1.0% | +3.8%usual 4.1% |
| Sep 18, 03:00 UTC37 days ago | Whales buyingBets on a fall were force-closed 1h earlier | $134.70Hyperliquid+3.2% in that hour | -0.5%more than its usual 0.49% | -0.4%usual 1.0% | +6.3%more than its usual 4.1% |
| Sep 18, 01:00 UTC37 days ago | Bets on a fall force-closedWhales were buying 1h later | $130.95Hyperliquid+1.8% in that hour | -0.3%usual 0.50% | +1.8%more than its usual 1.0% | +8.7%more than its usual 3.8% |
| Sep 17, 17:00 UTC37 days ago | Whales buying | $128.77Hyperliquid+1.1% in that hour | -1.9%more than its usual 0.48% | -1.2%more than its usual 1.0% | +7.5%more than its usual 3.8% |
| Sep 17, 00:00 UTC38 days ago | Whales selling | $120.33Hyperliquid+0.8% in that hour | +0.5%more than its usual 0.47% | +1.6%more than its usual 1.0% | +6.9%more than its usual 3.3% |
| Sep 16, 17:00 UTC38 days ago | Whales selling | $114.00Hyperliquid-1.2% in that hour | +1.8%more than its usual 0.48% | +3.1%more than its usual 1.0% | +13.0%more than its usual 3.2% |
| Sep 12, 12:00 UTC42 days ago | Whales buying | $126.80Hyperliquid-0.5% in that hour | -0.7%more than its usual 0.47% | -0.7%usual 0.86% | -1.0%usual 2.3% |
| Sep 10, 16:00 UTC44 days ago | Whales selling | $122.13Hyperliquid0.0% in that hour | +0.7%more than its usual 0.46% | +0.6%usual 0.81% | +3.6%more than its usual 2.3% |
| Sep 9, 22:00 UTC45 days ago | Whales sellingBets on a rise were force-closed 2h earlier | $124.23Hyperliquid-1.0% in that hour | +1.3%more than its usual 0.46% | +1.0%more than its usual 0.81% | -1.9%usual 2.3% |
| Sep 9, 20:00 UTC45 days ago | Bets on a rise force-closedWhales were selling 2h later | $126.10Hyperliquid+0.1% in that hour | -0.5%more than its usual 0.46% | -1.5%more than its usual 0.79% | -2.5%more than its usual 2.3% |
| Sep 4, 12:00 UTC50 days ago | Whales buying | $131.31Hyperliquid-2.0% in that hour | +0.1%usual 0.45% | +0.4%usual 0.78% | -0.5%usual 2.3% |
| Sep 3, 16:00 UTC51 days ago | Whales selling | $132.91Hyperliquid-1.0% in that hour | +0.9%more than its usual 0.46% | +1.2%more than its usual 0.77% | -0.8%usual 2.5% |
| Sep 2, 05:00 UTC53 days ago | Whales buyingBets on a fall were force-closed 46 min earlier | $134.36Hyperliquid+1.5% in that hour | -0.8%more than its usual 0.46% | -5.9%more than its usual 0.80% | -5.0%more than its usual 2.4% |
| Sep 2, 04:00 UTC53 days ago | Bets on a fall force-closedWhales were buying 46 min later | $132.31Hyperliquid+2.4% in that hour | +1.5%more than its usual 0.47% | -2.8%more than its usual 0.81% | -3.6%more than its usual 2.4% |
| Aug 30, 17:00 UTC55 days ago | Whales buying | $128.66Hyperliquid-0.1% in that hour | -0.1%usual 0.49% | -2.1%more than its usual 0.87% | -3.9%more than its usual 2.7% |
| Aug 29, 02:00 UTC57 days ago | Whales selling | $120.98Hyperliquid-0.6% in that hour | -0.3%usual 0.52% | +0.7%usual 1.0% | +3.9%more than its usual 2.9% |
| Aug 24, 22:00 UTC61 days ago | Bets on a rise force-closed | $130.99Hyperliquid-2.1% in that hour | +1.1%more than its usual 0.53% | +2.3%more than its usual 1.1% | -3.1%usual 3.6% |
| Aug 23, 13:00 UTC62 days ago | Whales buying | $141.34Hyperliquid+5.0% in that hour | -3.0%more than its usual 0.49% | -0.7%usual 1.1% | -3.9%more than its usual 3.5% |
| Aug 22, 08:00 UTC63 days ago | Whales buying | $122.39Hyperliquid-0.5% in that hour | +0.3%usual 0.47% | +2.8%more than its usual 1.0% | +1.5%usual 3.4% |
| Aug 21, 11:00 UTC64 days ago | Whales buying | $109.56Hyperliquid-2.8% in that hour | +0.3%usual 0.47% | +1.0%usual 1.0% | +13.6%more than its usual 3.2% |
| Aug 12, 05:00 UTC74 days ago | Whales buying | $90.18Hyperliquid+0.5% in that hour | -1.2%more than its usual 0.27% | -0.6%usual 0.61% | -1.6%more than its usual 1.2% |
| Aug 8, 21:00 UTC77 days ago | Whales buying | $91.73Hyperliquid+0.2% in that hour | -0.6%more than its usual 0.29% | -0.9%more than its usual 0.62% | 0.0%usual 1.0% |
| Aug 7, 10:00 UTC78 days ago | Whales selling | $89.83Hyperliquid-0.8% in that hour | -0.2%usual 0.33% | -0.9%more than its usual 0.65% | +0.5%usual 1.2% |
| Aug 6, 03:00 UTC80 days ago | Bets on a rise force-closed | $88.60Hyperliquid+0.1% in that hour | +0.7%more than its usual 0.36% | -0.3%usual 0.66% | +2.0%more than its usual 1.2% |
| Aug 5, 01:00 UTC81 days ago | Whales buying | $90.47Hyperliquid+0.5% in that hour | +0.9%more than its usual 0.37% | +1.6%more than its usual 0.65% | -1.5%more than its usual 1.3% |
| Jul 27, 09:00 UTC89 days ago | Whales buying | $101.15Hyperliquid-0.3% in that hour | +0.2%usual 0.40% | -0.9%more than its usual 0.78% | -4.2%more than its usual 2.5% |
How far above normal each time ran, and its buy and sell split, come with a paid plan. Start free, no card New accounts get 7 days of Pro. No card, nothing to cancel.
Not financial advice. A past move does not tell you the next one.
How this is counted
A time starts when whales trade far more AAVE in one hour than is normal for it, after at least six quiet hours. We note the price at the end of that hour, then one hour, four hours and one day later. Within half a percent either way is about flat.
Prices are our own hourly prices across exchanges where we hold them. For an hour we do not hold, they are Hyperliquid's hourly prices, and that time is then counted on Hyperliquid's prices from start to finish, never a mix: 33 of the 50 times here, each marked in the table.
Bets closed by force: within one minute, bets on one side were force-closed on at least three exchanges. A bet turned costly to hold: the fee to keep a bet open, averaged across exchanges, went past 0.05% for bets on a rise or 0.03% for bets on a fall. Each is compared only with earlier times of its own kind on the same side.
In that hour, under the price, is the move from the end of the hour before to the end of the hour it began in. It is the hour it happened, not what came after.
The usual move is the middle move of AAVE's ordinary hours over the same stretch: half of them moved less, half more. Moved more than usual means further than that, up or down.
Ordinary is AAVE's other hours within seven days either side of each time, counted the same way on the same prices, with every hour inside an unusual time left out. A time with fewer than 72 such hours around it has no ordinary.
No price means neither has a price for that moment. It is left out of the counts and never treated as a move.
