Radar / GRAM

GRAM: every time whale trading went unusual

31 times in the last 86 days that whales traded far more GRAM in one hour than is normal for it. Also listed: 2 times bets were closed by force, 5 times a bet turned costly to hold.

Whales buying, began 13 hours ago. The price is -7.1% since it began at $1.24.

The case both ways

Facts with their sources, and what followed the last times of each kind. Neither side is weighed.

Points up

  • Whales mostly bought GRAM in the unusual time that began 13 hours ago.
  • TON Strategy, a Nasdaq-listed treasury company, said it intends to keep accumulating, staking and supporting Gram as part of its long-term treasury plan.stocktitan · 15 Jun
  • Catchain 2.0 reduced block intervals from about 2.5 seconds to about 400 milliseconds.cryptotimes · 9 Apr
  • Config -123 and Config 30 were approved by governance votes, with Config 30 expected to lift network throughput by up to 30%.globenewswire

Points down

  • Total network fees fell 26.7% quarter over quarter to $719,080 in Q1 2026.messari
  • CoinGabbar's November 2026 analysis labels its Gram outlook bearish, pointing to GRAM trading below its 50-day moving average.coingabbar · 4 Nov
  • The same upgrade raised annual inflation of the network from around 0.6% to 3.6%, according to Crypto Times.cryptotimes · 9 Apr
  • Some exchanges, especially those serving US-based clients, have been reluctant to list the token because of the lingering effects of the SEC case.bitget

Dated ahead

  1. US October producer price index (BLS)
  2. FOMC minutes release
  3. PCE inflation report (October 2026) 6 up · 4 down · +0.9%
  4. Fed rate decision and projections 2 up · 4 down · -3.6%

The last times

  • The last 13 times whales bought it like this: higher 5 times, lower 7 a day later.
  • BTC around the last 11 PCE inflation reports: higher 6 times, lower 4 a day later, a typical move of +0.9% and -0.2% over the week.our own prices

TON (The Open Network) is a general-purpose blockchain that allows developers to build decentralized apps and tokens. (Smart Contract Platform, BNB Chain Ecosystem, Layer 1 (L1))

GRAM price, with each time marked

Hourly, Oct 11 to Nov 13. A break in the line is an hour with no price.

$1.45 $1.00

whales buying far more than normalwhales selling far more than normalforced closes or a costly fee

Where the price was a day later

After whales bought, 14 times
5 up1 about flat7 down1 not due yet
Ordinary hours around those times: 52% up · 14% about flat · 34% down
Moved more than usual: 11 of 14 in the hour itself · 8 of 14 an hour later · 7 of 14 4 hours later · 9 of 13 a day later
After whales sold, 14 times
8 up1 about flat5 down
Ordinary hours around those times: 47% up · 14% about flat · 39% down
Moved more than usual: 11 of 14 in the hour itself · 6 of 14 an hour later · 7 of 14 4 hours later · 10 of 14 a day later
After whales traded both ways, 3 times
2 up1 down
Ordinary hours around those times: 43% up · 9% about flat · 48% down
Moved more than usual: 2 of 3 in the hour itself · 2 of 3 an hour later · 2 of 3 4 hours later · 3 of 3 a day later
After bets on a rise were force-closed, 2 times
1 up1 down
Ordinary hours around those times: 49% up · 13% about flat · 38% down
Moved more than usual: 2 of 2 in the hour itself · 1 of 2 an hour later · 2 of 2 4 hours later · 2 of 2 a day later
After betting on a fall turned costly, 5 times
1 up1 about flat2 down1 not due yet
Ordinary hours around those times: 33% up · 14% about flat · 53% down
Moved more than usual: 4 of 5 in the hour itself · 2 of 5 an hour later · 2 of 5 4 hours later · 0 of 4 a day later

Every time, newest first

Times are UTC. Under each move: GRAM's usual move over the same stretch around then.

When What Price then 1 hour later 4 hours later 1 day later
Nov 12, 19:00 UTC6 hours ago Costly to bet on a fallnow $1.14-2.1% in that hour -0.4%usual 0.57% -0.4%usual 0.90% not due yet
Nov 12, 13:00 UTC13 hours ago Whales buyingnow $1.24-1.6% in that hour +0.7%more than its usual 0.53% -1.0%more than its usual 0.85% not due yet
Nov 11, 08:00 UTC2 days ago Whales trading both ways $1.16-0.2% in that hour +2.2%more than its usual 0.50% +7.3%more than its usual 0.89% +5.3%more than its usual 4.0%
Nov 10, 16:00 UTC2 days ago Whales trading both ways $1.10+0.8% in that hour +1.5%more than its usual 0.48% +2.2%more than its usual 0.90% +8.4%more than its usual 3.7%
Nov 10, 03:00 UTC3 days ago Whales selling $1.08-0.6% in that hour +0.3%usual 0.47% +0.6%usual 0.90% +5.2%more than its usual 3.4%
Nov 8, 12:00 UTC5 days ago Costly to bet on a fall $1.06-0.5% in that hour -0.8%more than its usual 0.46% -1.1%more than its usual 0.84% -1.3%usual 3.1%
Nov 7, 21:00 UTC5 days ago Whales selling $1.06-0.9% in that hour +0.4%usual 0.43% -0.7%usual 0.79% -5.4%more than its usual 2.9%
Oct 31, 16:00 UTC12 days ago Costly to bet on a fall $1.21-0.7% in that hour -0.2%usual 0.33% -0.6%usual 0.74% +1.3%usual 2.0%
Oct 25, 00:00 UTC19 days ago Costly to bet on a fall $1.25-0.2% in that hour 0.0%usual 0.29% -0.4%usual 0.65% 0.0%usual 1.4%
Oct 24, 08:00 UTC20 days ago Costly to bet on a fall $1.24-0.6% in that hour +0.6%more than its usual 0.27% +1.1%more than its usual 0.65% -0.6%usual 1.4%
Oct 23, 22:00 UTC20 days ago Whales selling $1.20-7.5% in that hour +1.8%more than its usual 0.26% +3.2%more than its usual 0.60% +4.4%more than its usual 1.3%
Oct 7, 20:00 UTC36 days ago Whales buying $1.44Hyperliquid+0.2% in that hour -0.8%more than its usual 0.32% -0.4%usual 0.67% -3.3%more than its usual 1.8%
Oct 7, 13:00 UTC37 days ago Whales selling $1.43Hyperliquid-1.0% in that hour -0.6%more than its usual 0.32% -0.5%usual 0.68% -1.2%usual 1.8%
Oct 7, 02:00 UTC37 days ago Whales selling $1.47Hyperliquid-0.8% in that hour 0.0%usual 0.33% +0.8%more than its usual 0.69% -2.2%more than its usual 1.8%
Oct 1, 21:00 UTC42 days ago Whales buying $1.57Hyperliquid+0.4% in that hour 0.0%usual 0.35% -0.4%usual 0.81% -5.1%more than its usual 2.7%
Oct 1, 09:00 UTC43 days ago Whales buying $1.50Hyperliquid+0.2% in that hour +0.9%more than its usual 0.34% 0.0%usual 0.78% +3.1%more than its usual 2.5%
Sep 30, 13:00 UTC44 days ago Whales buying $1.52Hyperliquid-1.4% in that hour -1.3%more than its usual 0.33% -0.1%usual 0.74% -1.1%usual 2.3%
Sep 30, 00:00 UTC44 days ago Whales selling $1.47Hyperliquid-0.5% in that hour +0.8%more than its usual 0.33% +3.2%more than its usual 0.73% +1.8%usual 2.1%
Sep 29, 08:00 UTC45 days ago Whales buying $1.59Hyperliquid-0.1% in that hour +0.1%usual 0.35% -2.3%more than its usual 0.72% -6.2%more than its usual 2.0%
Sep 28, 21:00 UTC45 days ago Whales selling $1.57Hyperliquid-2.0% in that hour +0.3%usual 0.35% -1.1%more than its usual 0.72% -4.1%more than its usual 2.0%
Sep 28, 02:00 UTC46 days ago Whales trading both ways $1.61Hyperliquid-1.3% in that hour +0.1%usual 0.35% +0.2%usual 0.72% -4.2%more than its usual 2.0%
Sep 27, 15:00 UTC46 days ago Whales buying $1.65Hyperliquid+4.1% in that hour +1.6%more than its usual 0.37% -0.6%usual 0.74% -2.6%more than its usual 2.4%
Sep 27, 02:00 UTC47 days ago Bets on a rise force-closed $1.56Hyperliquid-2.3% in that hour -0.3%usual 0.38% +1.9%more than its usual 0.84% +3.1%more than its usual 2.6%
Sep 26, 16:00 UTC47 days ago Whales buying $1.54Hyperliquid+3.5% in that hour -0.2%usual 0.37% +1.7%more than its usual 0.79% +9.0%more than its usual 2.5%
Sep 26, 02:00 UTC48 days ago Whales selling $1.45Hyperliquid+0.2% in that hour +0.1%usual 0.38% 0.0%usual 0.81% +7.6%more than its usual 2.5%
Sep 25, 13:00 UTC49 days ago Whales selling $1.42Hyperliquid-1.0% in that hour -0.1%usual 0.38% +0.2%usual 0.77% +3.9%more than its usual 2.5%
Sep 23, 07:00 UTC51 days ago Whales selling $1.46Hyperliquid-1.1% in that hour -0.6%more than its usual 0.31% -1.0%more than its usual 0.66% -2.4%more than its usual 2.3%
Sep 22, 17:00 UTC51 days ago Whales buying $1.45Hyperliquid+0.5% in that hour +0.6%more than its usual 0.29% +0.4%usual 0.65% -2.5%more than its usual 2.2%
Sep 21, 20:00 UTC52 days ago Whales selling $1.46Hyperliquid-0.5% in that hour -0.4%more than its usual 0.27% -0.4%usual 0.63% -0.5%usual 2.2%
Sep 21, 04:00 UTC53 days ago Whales buying $1.41Hyperliquid+1.2% in that hour 0.0%usual 0.26% +0.8%more than its usual 0.59% +2.6%more than its usual 2.1%
Sep 20, 03:00 UTC54 days ago Whales buying $1.37Hyperliquid+0.4% in that hour 0.0%usual 0.26% +0.7%more than its usual 0.56% +1.2%usual 1.8%
Sep 19, 05:00 UTC55 days ago Whales buying $1.36Hyperliquid-0.5% in that hour 0.0%usual 0.24% +0.5%more than its usual 0.53% +1.5%usual 1.7%
Sep 18, 15:00 UTC55 days ago Whales selling $1.38Hyperliquid0.0% in that hour -0.2%usual 0.24% -0.4%usual 0.52% +1.1%usual 1.5%
Sep 16, 18:00 UTC57 days ago Whales selling $1.30Hyperliquid0.0% in that hour +0.3%more than its usual 0.23% +0.7%more than its usual 0.49% +2.9%more than its usual 1.5%
Sep 4, 05:00 UTC70 days ago Whales selling $1.36Hyperliquid-1.3% in that hour +0.2%usual 0.31% +1.3%more than its usual 0.54% +3.2%more than its usual 1.5%
Aug 31, 17:00 UTC73 days ago Bets on a rise force-closedWhales were buying 30 min earlier $1.38Hyperliquid-1.5% in that hour +1.0%more than its usual 0.32% +2.0%more than its usual 0.61% -3.2%more than its usual 1.9%
Aug 31, 16:00 UTC73 days ago Whales buyingBets on a rise were force-closed 30 min later $1.40Hyperliquid+4.5% in that hour -1.5%more than its usual 0.32% -0.7%more than its usual 0.61% -4.8%more than its usual 1.9%
Aug 28, 17:00 UTC76 days ago Whales buying $1.36Hyperliquid-0.4% in that hour -0.5%more than its usual 0.37% -0.3%usual 0.76% -0.4%usual 2.2%

How far above normal each time ran, and its buy and sell split, come with a paid plan. Start free, no card New accounts get 7 days of Pro. No card, nothing to cancel.

Not financial advice. A past move does not tell you the next one.

How this is counted

A time starts when whales trade far more GRAM in one hour than is normal for it, after at least six quiet hours. We note the price at the end of that hour, then one hour, four hours and one day later. Within half a percent either way is about flat.

Prices are our own hourly prices across exchanges where we hold them. For an hour we do not hold, they are Hyperliquid's hourly prices, and that time is then counted on Hyperliquid's prices from start to finish, never a mix: 27 of the 38 times here, each marked in the table.

Bets closed by force: within one minute, bets on one side were force-closed on at least three exchanges. A bet turned costly to hold: the fee to keep a bet open, averaged across exchanges, went past 0.05% for bets on a rise or 0.03% for bets on a fall. Each is compared only with earlier times of its own kind on the same side.

In that hour, under the price, is the move from the end of the hour before to the end of the hour it began in. It is the hour it happened, not what came after.

The usual move is the middle move of GRAM's ordinary hours over the same stretch: half of them moved less, half more. Moved more than usual means further than that, up or down.

Ordinary is GRAM's other hours within seven days either side of each time, counted the same way on the same prices, with every hour inside an unusual time left out. A time with fewer than 72 such hours around it has no ordinary.

No price means neither has a price for that moment. It is left out of the counts and never treated as a move.