Radar / LBTC
LBTC: every time whale trading went unusual
21 times in the last 81 days that whales traded far more LBTC in one hour than is normal for it.
Whales buying, began 5 hours ago.
The case both ways
Facts with their sources, and what followed the last times of each kind. Neither side is weighed.
Points up
- Whales mostly bought LBTC in the unusual time that began 5 hours ago.
Points down
- BTC around the last 7 Fed decisions: higher 2 times, lower 4 a day later, a typical move of -3.6% and -0.5% over the week.our own prices
Dated ahead
- PCE inflation report (October 2026) 6 up · 4 down · +0.9%
- Fed rate decision and projections 2 up · 4 down · -3.6%
- PCE inflation report (November 2026) 6 up · 4 down · +0.9%
- PCE inflation report (December 2026) 6 up · 4 down · +0.9%
The last times
- BTC around the last 11 PCE inflation reports: higher 6 times, lower 4 a day later, a typical move of +0.9% and -0.2% over the week.our own prices
Where the price was a day later
Every time, newest first
Times are UTC. Under each move: LBTC's usual move over the same stretch around then.
| When | What | Price then | 1 hour later | 4 hours later | 1 day later |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 20:00 UTC5 hours ago | Whales buyingnow | no price | no price | not due yet | not due yet |
| Oct 29, 12:00 UTC8 days ago | Whales trading both ways | no price | no price | no price | no price |
| Oct 24, 12:00 UTC13 days ago | Whales trading both ways | no price | no price | no price | no price |
| Oct 23, 09:00 UTC14 days ago | Whales trading both ways | no price | no price | no price | no price |
| Oct 22, 13:00 UTC15 days ago | Whales trading both ways | no price | no price | no price | no price |
| Oct 15, 10:00 UTC22 days ago | Whales buying | no price | no price | no price | no price |
| Oct 1, 15:00 UTC35 days ago | Whales buying | no price | no price | no price | no price |
| Sep 16, 14:00 UTC50 days ago | Whales selling | no price | no price | no price | no price |
| Sep 15, 14:00 UTC51 days ago | Whales buying | no price | no price | no price | no price |
| Sep 8, 13:00 UTC59 days ago | Whales buying | no price | no price | no price | no price |
| Sep 6, 23:00 UTC60 days ago | Whales selling | no price | no price | no price | no price |
| Aug 31, 10:00 UTC67 days ago | Whales buying | no price | no price | no price | no price |
| Aug 24, 01:00 UTC74 days ago | Whales selling | no price | no price | no price | no price |
| Aug 22, 21:00 UTC75 days ago | Whales selling | no price | no price | no price | no price |
| Aug 21, 15:00 UTC76 days ago | Whales buying | no price | no price | no price | no price |
| Aug 20, 01:00 UTC78 days ago | Whales selling | no price | no price | no price | no price |
| Aug 19, 15:00 UTC78 days ago | Whales buying | no price | no price | no price | no price |
| Aug 17, 08:00 UTC81 days ago | Whales selling | no price | no price | no price | no price |
| Aug 16, 07:00 UTC82 days ago | Whales selling | no price | no price | no price | no price |
| Aug 11, 18:00 UTC86 days ago | Whales buying | no price | no price | no price | no price |
| Aug 9, 10:00 UTC89 days ago | Whales selling | no price | no price | no price | no price |
How far above normal each time ran, and its buy and sell split, come with a paid plan. Start free, no card New accounts get 7 days of Pro. No card, nothing to cancel.
Not financial advice. A past move does not tell you the next one.
How this is counted
A time starts when whales trade far more LBTC in one hour than is normal for it, after at least six quiet hours. We note the price at the end of that hour, then one hour, four hours and one day later. Within half a percent either way is about flat.
Prices are our own hourly prices across exchanges where we hold them. For an hour we do not hold, they are Hyperliquid's hourly prices, and that time is then counted on Hyperliquid's prices from start to finish, never a mix.
In that hour, under the price, is the move from the end of the hour before to the end of the hour it began in. It is the hour it happened, not what came after.
The usual move is the middle move of LBTC's ordinary hours over the same stretch: half of them moved less, half more. Moved more than usual means further than that, up or down.
Ordinary is LBTC's other hours within seven days either side of each time, counted the same way on the same prices, with every hour inside an unusual time left out. A time with fewer than 72 such hours around it has no ordinary.
No price means neither has a price for that moment. It is left out of the counts and never treated as a move.