Radar / SPCX
SPCX: every time whale trading went unusual
12 times in the last 33 days that whales traded far more SPCX in one hour than is normal for it. Also listed: 2 times bets were closed by force, 5 times a bet turned costly to hold.
Whales trading both ways, began 1 hour ago. The price is +0.1% since it began at $141.07.
The case both ways
Facts with their sources, and what followed the last times of each kind. Neither side is weighed.
Points up
- Sunrise, the Solana listing platform, coordinated the SPCX listing so that markets were liquid from the first day and the token reached Solana wallets, DEXs and aggregators.learn.backpack · 12 Jun
- Kamino, a Solana lending protocol, opened an isolated Backpack Market on October 28, 2026, where eligible users can deposit SPCX and borrow USDC against it, according to Solana Compass.solanacompass · 28 Oct
- Backpack announced that SPCX went live on Solana through Sunrise on June 12, 2026, the day SpaceX's Nasdaq listing took effect.x · 12 Jun
- According to Kamino's blog, as relayed by Solana Compass, Backpack Securities says its tokenized stocks have recorded more than $6 billion in cumulative onchain trading volume and more than 560,000 holders since June 2026.solanacompass
Points down
- Kamino warns that borrowing against tokenized equities carries liquidation risk, including when US markets are closed.defiprime · 28 Oct
- The Kamino oracle uses the last published share price while US markets are closed, so borrowers have no assurance of protection from liquidation during that time.defiprime · 28 Oct
- BTC around the last 7 Fed decisions: higher 2 times, lower 4 a day later, a typical move of -3.6% and -0.5% over the week.our own prices
Dated ahead
- US October CPI inflation report (BLS)
- US October producer price index (BLS)
- FOMC minutes release
- PCE inflation report (October 2026) 6 up · 4 down · +0.9%
The last times
- BTC around the last 11 PCE inflation reports: higher 6 times, lower 4 a day later, a typical move of +0.9% and -0.2% over the week.our own prices
At the core of this project is a strict, fully collateralized framework. (Tokenized Assets, Solana Ecosystem, Tokenized Stocks)
SPCX price, with each time marked
Hourly, Oct 8 to Nov 9. A break in the line is an hour with no price.
whales buying far more than normalwhales selling far more than normalforced closes or a costly fee
Where the price was a day later
Every time, newest first
Times are UTC. Under each move: SPCX's usual move over the same stretch around then.
| When | What | Price then | 1 hour later | 4 hours later | 1 day later |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 17:00 UTC1 hour ago | Whales trading both waysnow | $141.07-0.9% in that hour | not due yet | not due yet | not due yet |
| Nov 7, 01:00 UTC3 days ago | Costly to bet on a riseBets on a fall were force-closed 6h earlier | $136.31+0.3% in that hour | -0.5%more than its usual 0.36% | -0.7%usual 0.70% | -1.0%usual 1.7% |
| Nov 6, 19:00 UTC3 days ago | Bets on a fall force-closedBetting on a rise was costly 6h later | $135.20+1.4% in that hour | -2.3%more than its usual 0.37% | +0.2%usual 0.71% | -0.1%usual 1.6% |
| Nov 2, 15:00 UTC7 days ago | Whales buying | $138.59+0.4% in that hour | +1.8%more than its usual 0.45% | -0.6%usual 0.90% | +0.4%usual 2.1% |
| Oct 31, 00:00 UTC10 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $136.91+0.3% in that hour | -2.1%more than its usual 0.60% | 0.0%usual 1.0% | +0.3%usual 2.1% |
| Oct 28, 14:00 UTC12 days ago | Whales selling | $141.530.0% in that hour | +2.5%more than its usual 0.63% | +2.4%more than its usual 1.1% | -0.2%usual 1.7% |
| Oct 28, 04:00 UTC13 days ago | Whales selling | $150.06-0.1% in that hour | +0.1%usual 0.62% | -0.1%usual 1.1% | -3.9%more than its usual 1.8% |
| Oct 27, 14:00 UTC13 days ago | Whales buying | $146.94-1.1% in that hour | +2.2%more than its usual 0.62% | +2.2%more than its usual 1.1% | -3.7%more than its usual 1.7% |
| Oct 26, 19:00 UTC14 days ago | Whales selling | $144.94-1.0% in that hour | 0.0%usual 0.60% | +2.4%more than its usual 1.0% | +2.8%more than its usual 1.8% |
| Oct 26, 13:00 UTC14 days ago | Whales selling | $142.55-2.0% in that hour | +2.3%more than its usual 0.58% | +2.1%more than its usual 1.0% | +4.2%more than its usual 1.8% |
| Oct 23, 13:00 UTC17 days ago | Whales trading both ways | $147.50-0.2% in that hour | -0.7%usual 0.74% | +0.3%usual 1.1% | -2.3%more than its usual 2.0% |
| Oct 22, 19:00 UTC18 days ago | Whales selling | $144.38+1.0% in that hour | -0.6%usual 0.74% | +1.6%more than its usual 1.1% | +0.6%usual 2.1% |
| Oct 21, 08:00 UTC19 days ago | Bets on a fall force-closedWhales were buying 2h earlier | $162.87+0.8% in that hour | -1.2%more than its usual 0.83% | -4.3%more than its usual 1.3% | -4.3%more than its usual 2.3% |
| Oct 21, 06:00 UTC20 days ago | Whales buyingBets on a fall were force-closed 2h later | $161.35-0.2% in that hour | +0.1%usual 0.76% | -0.7%usual 1.2% | -5.3%more than its usual 2.0% |
| Oct 20, 20:00 UTC20 days ago | Whales buying | $150.28+1.6% in that hour | +3.6%more than its usual 0.77% | +6.6%more than its usual 1.2% | +3.4%more than its usual 2.0% |
| Oct 18, 22:00 UTC22 days ago | Costly to bet on a rise | $143.51-0.8% in that hour | +1.7%more than its usual 0.60% | +3.4%more than its usual 1.0% | +3.8%more than its usual 2.4% |
| Oct 18, 15:00 UTC22 days ago | Costly to bet on a fall | $143.49+1.7% in that hour | -1.9%more than its usual 0.59% | -0.5%usual 1.0% | +4.6%more than its usual 2.4% |
| Oct 17, 22:00 UTC23 days ago | Costly to bet on a fall | $144.130.0% in that hour | +0.8%more than its usual 0.58% | -1.4%more than its usual 1.1% | -0.4%usual 2.5% |
| Oct 16, 01:00 UTC25 days ago | Whales buying | $149.57+0.1% in that hour | +1.4%more than its usual 0.46% | -0.9%more than its usual 0.84% | -2.5%usual 2.5% |
How far above normal each time ran, and its buy and sell split, come with a paid plan. Start free, no card New accounts get 7 days of Pro. No card, nothing to cancel.
Not financial advice. A past move does not tell you the next one.
How this is counted
A time starts when whales trade far more SPCX in one hour than is normal for it, after at least six quiet hours. We note the price at the end of that hour, then one hour, four hours and one day later. Within half a percent either way is about flat.
Prices are our own hourly prices across exchanges where we hold them. For an hour we do not hold, they are Hyperliquid's hourly prices, and that time is then counted on Hyperliquid's prices from start to finish, never a mix.
Bets closed by force: within one minute, bets on one side were force-closed on at least three exchanges. A bet turned costly to hold: the fee to keep a bet open, averaged across exchanges, went past 0.05% for bets on a rise or 0.03% for bets on a fall. Each is compared only with earlier times of its own kind on the same side.
In that hour, under the price, is the move from the end of the hour before to the end of the hour it began in. It is the hour it happened, not what came after.
The usual move is the middle move of SPCX's ordinary hours over the same stretch: half of them moved less, half more. Moved more than usual means further than that, up or down.
Ordinary is SPCX's other hours within seven days either side of each time, counted the same way on the same prices, with every hour inside an unusual time left out. A time with fewer than 72 such hours around it has no ordinary.
No price means neither has a price for that moment. It is left out of the counts and never treated as a move.
