Radar / UBTC
UBTC: every time whale trading went unusual
10 times in the last 55 days that whales traded far more UBTC in one hour than is normal for it.
Whales selling, began 9 hours ago.
The case both ways
Facts with their sources, and what followed the last times of each kind. Neither side is weighed.
Points down
- Whales mostly sold UBTC in the unusual time that began 9 hours ago.
- BTC around the last 7 Fed decisions: higher 2 times, lower 4 a day later, a typical move of -3.6% and -0.5% over the week.our own prices
Dated ahead
- PCE inflation report (October 2026) 6 up · 4 down · +0.9%
- Fed rate decision and projections 2 up · 4 down · -3.6%
- PCE inflation report (November 2026) 6 up · 4 down · +0.9%
- PCE inflation report (December 2026) 6 up · 4 down · +0.9%
The last times
- BTC around the last 11 PCE inflation reports: higher 6 times, lower 4 a day later, a typical move of +0.9% and -0.2% over the week.our own prices
Where the price was a day later
Every time, newest first
Times are UTC. Under each move: UBTC's usual move over the same stretch around then.
| When | What | Price then | 1 hour later | 4 hours later | 1 day later |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 15:00 UTC9 hours ago | Whales sellingnow | no price | no price | no price | not due yet |
| Oct 22, 01:00 UTC15 days ago | Whales selling | no price | no price | no price | no price |
| Oct 21, 13:00 UTC16 days ago | Whales selling | no price | no price | no price | no price |
| Oct 16, 07:00 UTC21 days ago | Whales selling | no price | no price | no price | no price |
| Oct 15, 20:00 UTC21 days ago | Whales selling | no price | no price | no price | no price |
| Oct 15, 08:00 UTC22 days ago | Whales selling | no price | no price | no price | no price |
| Oct 14, 12:00 UTC23 days ago | Whales selling | no price | no price | no price | no price |
| Oct 13, 11:00 UTC24 days ago | Whales selling | no price | no price | no price | no price |
| Oct 12, 08:00 UTC25 days ago | Whales selling | no price | no price | no price | no price |
| Oct 11, 11:00 UTC26 days ago | Whales selling | no price | no price | no price | no price |
How far above normal each time ran, and its buy and sell split, come with a paid plan. Start free, no card New accounts get 7 days of Pro. No card, nothing to cancel.
Not financial advice. A past move does not tell you the next one.
How this is counted
A time starts when whales trade far more UBTC in one hour than is normal for it, after at least six quiet hours. We note the price at the end of that hour, then one hour, four hours and one day later. Within half a percent either way is about flat.
Prices are our own hourly prices across exchanges where we hold them. For an hour we do not hold, they are Hyperliquid's hourly prices, and that time is then counted on Hyperliquid's prices from start to finish, never a mix.
In that hour, under the price, is the move from the end of the hour before to the end of the hour it began in. It is the hour it happened, not what came after.
The usual move is the middle move of UBTC's ordinary hours over the same stretch: half of them moved less, half more. Moved more than usual means further than that, up or down.
Ordinary is UBTC's other hours within seven days either side of each time, counted the same way on the same prices, with every hour inside an unusual time left out. A time with fewer than 72 such hours around it has no ordinary.
No price means neither has a price for that moment. It is left out of the counts and never treated as a move.
